Simulation of permafrost distributions in the Qilian Mountains using a multi-criteria approach | |
Chen J. | |
2014 | |
关键词 | Alpine permafrost simulation Multi-criteria approach Qilian Mountains Topographic factors Meteorological factors qinghai-tibet plateau past 50 years northwest china southern norway climate degradation parameters model |
英文摘要 | Permafrost is a physical geographic phenomenon that is sensitive to temperature, and climate change has a great effect on alpine permafrost distributions. Based on topographic and meteorological factors and a benchmark map of alpine permafrost distribution, this paper puts forward a GIS-based empirical permafrost model. This model uses a multi-criteria approach to derive the permafrost distribution in 5-year intervals in the Qilian Mountains over the past 30 years. The simulation results show that: (1) the model can use multiple factors to simulate alpine permafrost, which can reduce dependence on field survey data. (2) The simulated distribution of alpine permafrost presents an overall degraded tendency, about 17.11% of which has decreased over the past 30 years. (3) Based on the climate change tendency, simulated Qilian permafrost will continue to degrade about 0.51 x 10(4) km(2) over the next 15 years. (C) 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. |
出处 | Cold Regions Science and Technology |
卷 | 103 |
页 | 63-73 |
收录类别 | SCI |
语种 | 英语 |
ISSN号 | 0165-232X |
内容类型 | SCI/SSCI论文 |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/29402] |
专题 | 地理科学与资源研究所_历年回溯文献 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Chen J.. Simulation of permafrost distributions in the Qilian Mountains using a multi-criteria approach. 2014. |
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