Projections of land use/cover change and habitat quality in the model area of Yellow River delta by coupling land subsidence and sea level rise
Tang, Zhixiong1,2,3; Ning, Rongrong1,2; Wang, De1; Tian, Xinpeng1; Bi, Xiaoli1; Ning, Jicai1; Zhou, Zixiang2; Luo, Fubin1,2
刊名ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS
2024
卷号158页码:14
关键词Seawater inundation Scenario simulation SBAS-InSAR PLUS model InVEST model Coastal area
ISSN号1470-160X
DOI10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.111394
通讯作者Wang, De(dwang@yic.ac.cn)
英文摘要Accurately assessing future land use/cover change (LUCC) and habitat quality (HQ) is vital for ensuring sustainable use of coastal ecosystem services, but most studies ignore the effects of seawater inundation. This study developed a framework based on the PLUS model and InVEST-HQ model that considers seawater inundation due to sea level rise (SLR) and land subsidence. We used this framework to simulate future LUCC and HQ under different scenarios in the Yellow River Delta (YRD). The results showed: (1) From 1991 to 2020, natural wetlands decreased by 39.87 %, non-wetlands decreased by 3.06 %, and artificial wetlands increased by 730.71 %. The overall HQ showed a decreasing trend, with the largest decrease in non-wetlands. (2) Land subsidence occurred in 93.26 % of the YRD, with a subsidence rate of-36.55 mm/year. Underground brine mining is the most important driving factor. About 6.81 %-11.16 % of the area will be inundated in 2035, and about 9.39 %-19.27 % of the area will be inundated in 2050. (3) Future multi-scenario simulations show that the Ecological-Protection scenario can minimize the ecological losses caused by seawater inundation. The simulation of future HQ will be underestimated when seawater inundation is not considered. Our study shows that seawater inundation caused by land subsidence and SLR must be taken into account when simulating LUCC and HQ in coastal areas.
WOS关键词DEFORMATION ; IMPACT ; WATER
WOS研究方向Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001139267800001
资助机构Natural Sciences Foundation of Shandong Province ; Seed project of Yantai Institute of Coastal Zone Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences ; National Natural Sciences Foundation of China
内容类型期刊论文
源URL[http://ir.yic.ac.cn/handle/133337/34350]  
专题烟台海岸带研究所_中科院海岸带环境过程与生态修复重点实验室
通讯作者Wang, De
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Yantai Inst Coastal Zone Res, Yantai, Peoples R China
2.Xian Univ Sci & Technol, Coll Geomat, Xian, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Subtrop Agr, Changsha, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Tang, Zhixiong,Ning, Rongrong,Wang, De,et al. Projections of land use/cover change and habitat quality in the model area of Yellow River delta by coupling land subsidence and sea level rise[J]. ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS,2024,158:14.
APA Tang, Zhixiong.,Ning, Rongrong.,Wang, De.,Tian, Xinpeng.,Bi, Xiaoli.,...&Luo, Fubin.(2024).Projections of land use/cover change and habitat quality in the model area of Yellow River delta by coupling land subsidence and sea level rise.ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS,158,14.
MLA Tang, Zhixiong,et al."Projections of land use/cover change and habitat quality in the model area of Yellow River delta by coupling land subsidence and sea level rise".ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS 158(2024):14.
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