Multi-wing butterfly effects on catastrophic rockslides | |
Chen, Ningsheng10,11,12; Tian, Shufeng9,12; Wang, Fawu8; Shi, Peijun7,11; Liu, Lihong6,12; Xiao, Miaoyuan5,12; Liu, Enlong4; Tang, Wenqing3; Rahman, Mahfuzur2; Somos-Valenzuela, Marcelo1 | |
刊名 | GEOSCIENCE FRONTIERS
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2023-11-01 | |
卷号 | 14期号:6页码:10 |
关键词 | Catastrophic rockslide Slope failure Multi -wing butterfly effect Tibetan Plateau Delayed amplified runoff |
ISSN号 | 1674-9871 |
DOI | 10.1016/j.gsf.2023.101627 |
英文摘要 | The catastrophic rockslide, which frequently triggers numerous severe disasters worldwide, has drawn much attention globally; however, understanding the initiation mechanism of catastrophic rockslides in the absence of typical single triggering factors related to strong seismic activity or torrential precipitation continues to be challenging within the global scientific community. This study aims to determine the mechanism of the three largest catastrophic rockslides in the eastern Tibetan Plateau, Yigong, Xinmo, and Baige, over the past 20 years using field investigation, remote sensing, and runoff analysis. Instead of the conventional driving factors of heavy rainfall and strong earthquakes, the multi-wing butterfly effects (MWBE) of climatic factors and weak earthquakes are for the first time identified as drivers of the catastrophic rockslide disasters. First, strong tectonic uplift, fast fluvial incision, high-density faults, and large regional water confluence formed the slopes in the critical regime, creating the source conditions of rockslide. Second, the MWBE of early dry-heat events and antecedent rainfall, combined with imminent weak earthquakes, initiated rockslide. Third, the delayed amplified runoff moving toward the sliding surface and lowering the strength of the locking-rock segment constituted the fundamental mechanism of the MWBE on rockslide. The catastrophic rockslide was ultimately inferred to be a nonlinear chaotic process; however, prediction and forecasting of rockslide based on the MWBE in the early stages are possible and essential. This finding presents a new perspective concerning forecasting progressive landslides.(c) 2023 China University of Geosciences (Beijing) and Peking University. Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of China University of Geosciences (Beijing) This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/). |
资助项目 | Chengdu Center of China Geological Survey ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[U20A20110] ; Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program[2019QZKK0906] ; Key R&D Projects of Tibet Autonomous Region Science and Technology Project[XZ202101ZD0013G] ; International Cooperation Overseas Platform Project, CAS[131C11KYSB20200033] ; Outstanding Talent Project of Thousand Talents Program in China |
WOS关键词 | RECENT XINMO LANDSLIDE ; JINSHA RIVER ; FAILURE ; SICHUAN ; TIBET ; MECHANISM ; SOUTHWEST ; INSIGHTS ; EROSION ; MAOXIAN |
WOS研究方向 | Geology |
语种 | 英语 |
出版者 | CHINA UNIV GEOSCIENCES, BEIJING |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001001359300001 |
资助机构 | Chengdu Center of China Geological Survey ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program ; Key R&D Projects of Tibet Autonomous Region Science and Technology Project ; International Cooperation Overseas Platform Project, CAS ; Outstanding Talent Project of Thousand Talents Program in China |
内容类型 | 期刊论文 |
源URL | [http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/57427] ![]() |
专题 | 中国科学院水利部成都山地灾害与环境研究所 |
通讯作者 | Shi, Peijun |
作者单位 | 1.Univ La Frontera, Fac Agr & Environm Sci, Dept Forest Sci, Temuco 4780000, Chile 2.Int Univ Business Agr & Technol, Dept Civil Engn, Dhaka 1230, Bangladesh 3.China Geol Survey, Chengdu Ctr, Chengdu 610081, Peoples R China 4.Sichuan Univ, Coll Water Resources & Hydropower, State Key Lab Hydraul & Mt River Engn, Chengdu 610065, Peoples R China 5.Sichuan Univ Co Ltd, Engn Design & Res Inst, Chengdu 610041, Peoples R China 6.Natl Mine Safety Adm, Safety Technol Ctr Sichuan Bur, Chengdu 610046, Peoples R China 7.Beijing Normal Univ, State Key Lab Surface Proc & Resource Ecol, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China 8.Tongji Univ, Coll Civil Engn, Shanghai 200092, Peoples R China 9.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 10.Tribhuvan Univ, Chinese Acad Sci, Kathmandu Ctr Res & Educ, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Chen, Ningsheng,Tian, Shufeng,Wang, Fawu,et al. Multi-wing butterfly effects on catastrophic rockslides[J]. GEOSCIENCE FRONTIERS,2023,14(6):10. |
APA | Chen, Ningsheng.,Tian, Shufeng.,Wang, Fawu.,Shi, Peijun.,Liu, Lihong.,...&Somos-Valenzuela, Marcelo.(2023).Multi-wing butterfly effects on catastrophic rockslides.GEOSCIENCE FRONTIERS,14(6),10. |
MLA | Chen, Ningsheng,et al."Multi-wing butterfly effects on catastrophic rockslides".GEOSCIENCE FRONTIERS 14.6(2023):10. |
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