An anticrime information support system design: Application of K-means-VMD-BiGRU in the city of Chicago

doi:10.1016/j.im.2019.103247

	An anticrime information support system design: Application of K-means-VMD-BiGRU in the city of Chicago
	Zhu, Qing 1,2; Zhang, Fan 1; Liu, Shan 2; Li, Yuze 3
刊名	INFORMATION & MANAGEMENT
	2022-07-01
卷号	59 期号:5 页码:13
关键词	Crime inference Public security Spatial heterogeneity Time-lag effect Machine learning
ISSN号	0378-7206
DOI	10.1016/j.im.2019.103247
英文摘要	The sharp rise in urban crime rates is becoming one of the most important issues of public security, affecting many aspects of social sustainability, such as employment, livelihood, health care, and education. Therefore, it is critical to develop a predictive model capable of identifying areas with high crime intensity and detecting trends of crime occurrence in such areas for the allocation of scarce resources and investment in the prevention and reduction of criminal strategies. This study develops a predictive model based on K-means clustering, signal decomposition technique, and neural networks to identify crime distribution in urban areas and accurately forecast the variation tendency of the number of crimes in each area. We find that the time series of the number of crimes in different areas show a correlation in the long term, but this long-term effect cannot be reflected in the short period. Therefore, we argue that short-term joint law enforcement has no theoretical basis because data show that spatial heterogeneity and time lag cannot be timely reflected in short-term prediction. By combining the temporal and spatial effects, a high-precision anticrime information support system is designed, which can help the police to implement more targeted crime prevention strategies at the micro level.
资助项目	National Natural Science Foundation (NSFC) Programs of China[91646113] ; National Natural Science Foundation (NSFC) Programs of China[71722014] ; National Natural Science Foundation (NSFC) Programs of China[71471141] ; National Natural Science Foundation (NSFC) Programs of China[71350007] ; Youth Innovation Team of Shaanxi Universities ?
WOS研究方向	Computer Science ; Information Science & Library Science ; Business & Economics
语种	英语
出版者	ELSEVIER
WOS记录号	WOS:000814203000001
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/61205]
专题	中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院
通讯作者	Liu, Shan
作者单位	1.Shaanxi Normal Univ, Int Business Sch, Xian 710061, Peoples R China 2.Xi An Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Management, Xian 710049, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zhu, Qing,Zhang, Fan,Liu, Shan,et al. An anticrime information support system design: Application of K-means-VMD-BiGRU in the city of Chicago[J]. INFORMATION & MANAGEMENT,2022,59(5):13.
APA	Zhu, Qing,Zhang, Fan,Liu, Shan,&Li, Yuze.(2022).An anticrime information support system design: Application of K-means-VMD-BiGRU in the city of Chicago.INFORMATION & MANAGEMENT,59(5),13.
MLA	Zhu, Qing,et al."An anticrime information support system design: Application of K-means-VMD-BiGRU in the city of Chicago".INFORMATION & MANAGEMENT 59.5(2022):13.