Impact of temperature on upper respiratory tract infections in Lanzhou based on the distributed lag model

doi:10.32604/MCB.2021.014287

CORC > 兰州理工大学 > 兰州理工大学 > 经济管理学院

	Impact of temperature on upper respiratory tract infections in Lanzhou based on the distributed lag model
	Zhai, Guangyu 1,2; Zhang, Kuan 1; Chai, Guorong 2
刊名	MCB Molecular and Cellular Biomechanics
	2021
卷号	18 期号:1 页码:21-31
关键词	Diseases Meteorology Wind Correlation analysis Daily temperatures Distributed lag models Impact of temperatures Meteorological data Meteorological factors Potential effects Upper respiratory tract
ISSN号	1556-5297
DOI	10.32604/MCB.2021.014287
英文摘要	The study mainly analyzed the relationship between temperature and the upper respiratory tract infections (URI) in Lanzhou. We collected the daily URI and meteorological data from 2010 to 2015. A distributed lag non-linear model was used to examine the relationship and potential effects of different temperatures and different lag days on the morbidity of URI. The results showed that the morbidity of URI was significantly related to the meteorological factors, and the peak of the onset of the disease usually occurred between November and February the next year. The correlation analysis was carried out between meteorological factors and URI cases, and the result revealed that the daily morbidity of URI in Lanzhou was related to air temperature, air pressure, and wind speed. The exposure effect curve of average daily temperature to different sex and different age groups in Lanzhou displayed an M-shaped. Temperature had a certain lag effect on the daily morbidity of URI. For low temperature, it appeared on the present day, and the maximum impact appeared at lag 2 days and persisted for 12 days. The female was more vulnerable than the male, and the impact was obvious in teenagers and the elderly and not obvious in adult. Meteorological factors play an important role in the occurrence of URI in Lanzhou, but the main factor is low temperature. Temperature can trigger the morbidity of URI directly; it can induce various symptoms of URI (such as cold, sore throat and rhinitis) and directly affect the distribution of URI in the population. © This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
语种	英语
出版者	Tech Science Press
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.lut.edu.cn/handle/2XXMBERH/147763]
专题	经济管理学院
作者单位	1.School of Economics and Management, Lanzhou University of Technology, Lanzhou; 730050, China 2.School of Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou; 730000, China;
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zhai, Guangyu,Zhang, Kuan,Chai, Guorong. Impact of temperature on upper respiratory tract infections in Lanzhou based on the distributed lag model[J]. MCB Molecular and Cellular Biomechanics,2021,18(1):21-31.
APA	Zhai, Guangyu,Zhang, Kuan,&Chai, Guorong.(2021).Impact of temperature on upper respiratory tract infections in Lanzhou based on the distributed lag model.MCB Molecular and Cellular Biomechanics,18(1),21-31.
MLA	Zhai, Guangyu,et al."Impact of temperature on upper respiratory tract infections in Lanzhou based on the distributed lag model".MCB Molecular and Cellular Biomechanics 18.1(2021):21-31.