Modelling the variation of demersal fish distribution in Yellow Sea under climate change

doi:10.1007/s00343-021-1126-6

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	Modelling the variation of demersal fish distribution in Yellow Sea under climate change
	Zhu, Yugui 6,7; Lin, Yuting 7; Chu, Jiansong 2,6; Kang, Bin 7; Reygondeau, Gabriel 1,3; Zhao, Qianshuo 2; Zhang, Zhixin 4; Wang, Yunfeng 5; Cheung, William W. L.1
刊名	JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY
	2022-03-25
页码	12
关键词	climate change dynamic bioclimate envelope model distribution shifts relative abundance demersal fish Yellow Sea
ISSN号	2096-5508
DOI	10.1007/s00343-021-1126-6
通讯作者	Chu, Jiansong(oucjs@ouc.edu.cn) ; Cheung, William W. L.(w.cheung@oceans.ubc.ca)
英文摘要	Climate change can affect fish individuals or schools, and consequently the fisheries. Studying future changes of fish distribution and abundance helps the scientific management of fisheries. The dynamic bioclimate envelope model (DBEM) was used to identify the "environmental preference profiles" of the studied species based on outputs from three Earth system models (ESMs). Changes in ocean conditions in climate change scenarios could be transformed by the model into those in relative abundance and distribution of species. Therefore, the distributional response of 17 demersal fishes to climate change in the Yellow Sea could be projected from 1970 to 2060. Indices of latitudinal centroid (LC) and mean temperature of relative abundance (MTRA) were used to represent the results conducted by model. Results present that 17 demersal fish species in the Yellow Sea show a trend of anti-poleward shift under both low-emission scenario (RCP 2.6) and high-emission scenario (RCP 8.5) from 1970 to 2060, with the projected average LC in three ESMs shifting at a rate of -1.17 +/- 4.55 and -2.76 +/- 3.82 km/decade, respectively, which is contrary to the previous projecting studies of fishes suggesting that fishes tend to move toward higher latitudes under increased temperature scenarios. The Yellow Sea Cold Water Mass could be the major driver resulting in the shift, which shows a potential significance to fishery resources management and marine conservation, and provides a new perspective in fish migration under climate change.
资助项目	National Natural Science Foundation of China[42176234] ; Chinese Arctic and Antarctic Creative Program[JDXT2018-01] ; Key Special Project for Introduced Talents Team of Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Guangzhou)[GML2019ZD0402]
WOS研究方向	Marine & Freshwater Biology ; Oceanography
语种	英语
出版者	SCIENCE PRESS
WOS记录号	WOS:000773850200002
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/178681]
专题	中国科学院海洋研究所
通讯作者	Chu, Jiansong; Cheung, William W. L.
作者单位	1.Univ British Columbia, Inst Oceans & Fisheries, Changing Ocean Res Unit, Vancouver, BC V5K 0A1, Canada 2.Ocean Univ China, Coll Marine Life Sci, Qingdao 266003, Peoples R China 3.Yale Univ, Yale Ctr Biodivers Movement & Global Change, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol Max Planck, New Haven, CT 06501 USA 4.Tokyo Univ Marine Sci & Technol, Grad Sch Marine Sci & Technol, Minato Ku, Tokyo 1088477, Japan 5.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China 6.Southern Marine Sci & Engn Guangdong Lab, Guangzhou 511458, Peoples R China 7.Ocean Univ China, Coll Fisheries, Minist Educ, Key Lab Mariculture, Qingdao 266003, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zhu, Yugui,Lin, Yuting,Chu, Jiansong,et al. Modelling the variation of demersal fish distribution in Yellow Sea under climate change[J]. JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY,2022:12.
APA	Zhu, Yugui.,Lin, Yuting.,Chu, Jiansong.,Kang, Bin.,Reygondeau, Gabriel.,...&Cheung, William W. L..(2022).Modelling the variation of demersal fish distribution in Yellow Sea under climate change.JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY,12.
MLA	Zhu, Yugui,et al."Modelling the variation of demersal fish distribution in Yellow Sea under climate change".JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY (2022):12.