Climate change promotes transitions to tall evergreen vegetation in tropical Asia

doi:10.1111/gcb.15217

CORC > 西双版纳热带植物园 > 中国科学院西双版纳热带植物园 > 2012年后新成立研究组

	Climate change promotes transitions to tall evergreen vegetation in tropical Asia
	Scheiter, Simon ; Kumar, Dushyant ; Corlett, Richard T.; Gaillard, Camille ; Langan, Liam ; Lapuz, Ralph Sedricke 4; Martens, Carola 1; Pfeiffer, Mirjam ; Tomlinson, Kyle W.
刊名	GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY
	2020
卷号	26 期号:9 页码:5106-5124
关键词	aDGVM2 biome shifts climate change CO(2)fertilization model ensemble phenology tropical Asia
ISSN号	1354-1013
DOI	10.1111/gcb.15217
英文摘要	Vegetation in tropical Asia is highly diverse due to large environmental gradients and heterogeneity of landscapes. This biodiversity is threatened by intense land use and climate change. However, despite the rich biodiversity and the dense human population, tropical Asia is often underrepresented in global biodiversity assessments. Understanding how climate change influences the remaining areas of natural vegetation is therefore highly important for conservation planning. Here, we used the adaptive Dynamic Global Vegetation Model version 2 (aDGVM2) to simulate impacts of climate change and elevated CO(2)on vegetation formations in tropical Asia for an ensemble of climate change scenarios. We used climate forcing from five different climate models for representative concentration pathways RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. We found that vegetation in tropical Asia will remain a carbon sink until 2099, and that vegetation biomass increases of up to 28% by 2099 are associated with transitions from small to tall woody vegetation and from deciduous to evergreen vegetation. Patterns of phenology were less responsive to climate change and elevated CO(2)than biomes and biomass, indicating that the selection of variables and methods used to detect vegetation changes is crucial. Model simulations revealed substantial variation within the ensemble, both in biomass increases and in distributions of different biome types. Our results have important implications for management policy, because they suggest that large ensembles of climate models and scenarios are required to assess a wide range of potential future trajectories of vegetation change and to develop robust management plans. Furthermore, our results highlight open ecosystems with low tree cover as most threatened by climate change, indicating potential conflicts of interest between biodiversity conservation in open ecosystems and active afforestation to enhance carbon sequestration.
学科主题	Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种	英语
WOS记录号	WOS:000557966300031
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.xtbg.org.cn/handle/353005/11780]
专题	西双版纳热带植物园_2012年后新成立研究组
作者单位	1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 2.Goethe Univ Frankfurt Main, Inst Phys Geog, Frankfurt, Germany 3.Senckenberg Biodivers & Climate Res Ctr SBiK F, Senckenberganlage 25, D-60325 Frankfurt, Germany 4.Corlett, Richard T.; Tomlinson, Kyle W.] Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Conservat Biol, Core Bot Gardens, Menglun, Yunnan, Peoples R China 5.Corlett, Richard T.; Lapuz, Ralph Sedricke; Tomlinson, Kyle W.] Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Integrat Conservat, Xishuangbanna Trop Bot Garden, Menglun, Yunnan, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Scheiter, Simon,Kumar, Dushyant,Corlett, Richard T.,et al. Climate change promotes transitions to tall evergreen vegetation in tropical Asia[J]. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,2020,26(9):5106-5124.
APA	Scheiter, Simon.,Kumar, Dushyant.,Corlett, Richard T..,Gaillard, Camille.,Langan, Liam.,...&Tomlinson, Kyle W..(2020).Climate change promotes transitions to tall evergreen vegetation in tropical Asia.GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,26(9),5106-5124.
MLA	Scheiter, Simon,et al."Climate change promotes transitions to tall evergreen vegetation in tropical Asia".GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY 26.9(2020):5106-5124.