Prediction of changes in water balance of Nam Co Lake under projected climate change scenarios

doi:10.1080/02626667.2021.1957474

	Prediction of changes in water balance of Nam Co Lake under projected climate change scenarios
	Adnan, Muhammad 1,2,3; Kang, Shichang 2,3,4; Saifullah, Muhammad 5; Liu, Shiyin 1; Zhang, Guoshuai 6; Zhao, Qiudong 2,7; Faiz, Muhammad Abrar 8; Zaman, Muhammad 9
刊名	HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES
	2021-08-28
页码	16
关键词	soil and water assessment tool model degree-day melt model Nam Co Lake water balance representative concentration pathways Tibetan Plateau
ISSN号	0262-6667
DOI	10.1080/02626667.2021.1957474
通讯作者	Kang, Shichang(shichang.kang@lzb.ac.cn)
英文摘要	This study predicts future variations in simulated water balance components of Nam Co Lake under projected climate change scenarios using the soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) model in conjunction with the degree-day melt (DDM) model coupled with the glacier volume-area scaling law. We deduced that the water balance of Nam Co Lake will increase under all selected representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios, but it will become negative from 2073 onward (under RCP8.5). Compared to 1981-2010, from 2011 to 2100, the projected Nam Co Lake levels show an increase at a rate of 0.63, 0.70, and 0.41 m/a under RCP2.6, 4.5, and 8.5, respectively, with an area expansion of 778, 855, and 537 km(2) and a corresponding water volume increase of 155, 17, and 94 km(3), respectively; from 2011 to 2100, the lake area will expand by 38.6%, 42.4%, and 26.6% under RCP2.6, 4.5, and 8.5, respectively.
资助项目	National Natural Science Foundation of China[41701074] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41630754] ; Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program (STEP)[2019QZKK0605] ; State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Science[SKLCS-ZZ-2019]
WOS关键词	CENTRAL TIBETAN PLATEAU ; LEVEL CHANGES ; RIVER-BASIN ; STORAGE VARIATIONS ; MODEL ; ALTIMETRY ; IMPACTS ; ICESAT ; PERFORMANCE ; CATCHMENT
WOS研究方向	Water Resources
语种	英语
出版者	TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
WOS记录号	WOS:000693283700001
资助机构	National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program (STEP) ; State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Science
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/165504]
专题	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者	Kang, Shichang
作者单位	1.Yunnan Univ, Inst Int Rivers & Ecosecur, Kunming, Yunnan, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, State Key Lab Cryospher Sci, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China 3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 4.CAS Ctr Excellence Tibetan Plateau Earth Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 5.Muhammad Nawaz Shareef Univ Agr, Dept Agr Engn, Multan, Pakistan 6.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Tibetan Plateau Res, Key Lab Tibetan Environm Changes & Land Surface P, Beijing, Peoples R China 7.Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Key Lab Ecohydrol Inland River Basin, Lanzhou, Peoples R China 8.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing, Peoples R China 9.Univ Agr Faisalabad, Dept Irrigat & Drainage, Faisalabad, Pakistan
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Adnan, Muhammad,Kang, Shichang,Saifullah, Muhammad,et al. Prediction of changes in water balance of Nam Co Lake under projected climate change scenarios[J]. HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES,2021:16.
APA	Adnan, Muhammad.,Kang, Shichang.,Saifullah, Muhammad.,Liu, Shiyin.,Zhang, Guoshuai.,...&Zaman, Muhammad.(2021).Prediction of changes in water balance of Nam Co Lake under projected climate change scenarios.HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES,16.
MLA	Adnan, Muhammad,et al."Prediction of changes in water balance of Nam Co Lake under projected climate change scenarios".HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES (2021):16.