Labor Shrinkage and its Driving Forces in China from 1990 to 2015: A Geographical Analysis

doi:10.1007/s12061-021-09414-2

	Labor Shrinkage and its Driving Forces in China from 1990 to 2015: A Geographical Analysis
	Liu, Zhen 1,3; Qi, Honggang 1,3; Liu, Shenghe 1,2,3
刊名	APPLIED SPATIAL ANALYSIS AND POLICY
	2021-08-26
页码	26
关键词	Population decline Migration Labor change China Labor market Aging population
ISSN号	1874-463X
DOI	10.1007/s12061-021-09414-2
通讯作者	Qi, Honggang(qihg.17b@igsnrr.ac.cn)
英文摘要	Labor change in China has reached a turning point, and labor shrinkage and its related issues have widely attracted attention in recent years. However, studies that examine labor shrinkage and its driving forces from a geographical perspective are still limited. This study analyzed the trends and spatial differences of labor shrinkage at national and various regional scales from 1990 to 2015, and then investigated the driving forces behind these processes by combining the variables of migration and demographic structural change. We found that labor shrinkage areas at the subnational level have increased significantly in the period from 2010 to 2015. We also found that they first emerged in the Central and Western regions, and then gradually expanded to the Coastal and Northeast regions. Although migration still matters, dramatic demographic structural changes have played an increasingly important role in explaining the recent trend of labor shrinkage. Moreover, the driving forces varied in different local contexts: while lagging economic and employment growth have been the main drivers of labor shrinkage in the Central and Western regions, many shrinkage areas in the Coastal region can be linked to the decline of the youth population on the one hand and an aging population on the other hand. These findings highlight the geographic heterogeneity of labor shrinkage as well as the driving forces at regional levels, and they recommend that local governments take differentiated measures to address labor shrinkage.
资助项目	National Natural Science Foundation of China[42001166] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41771180]
WOS关键词	TERM POPULATION DECLINE ; AGE STRUCTURE ; MIGRATION ; PATTERNS ; FUTURE ; EUROPE
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geography ; Public Administration
语种	英语
出版者	SPRINGER
WOS记录号	WOS:000689523900001
资助机构	National Natural Science Foundation of China
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/165209]
专题	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者	Qi, Honggang
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, 11A Datun Rd, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Reg Sustainable Dev Modeling, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Liu, Zhen,Qi, Honggang,Liu, Shenghe. Labor Shrinkage and its Driving Forces in China from 1990 to 2015: A Geographical Analysis[J]. APPLIED SPATIAL ANALYSIS AND POLICY,2021:26.
APA	Liu, Zhen,Qi, Honggang,&Liu, Shenghe.(2021).Labor Shrinkage and its Driving Forces in China from 1990 to 2015: A Geographical Analysis.APPLIED SPATIAL ANALYSIS AND POLICY,26.
MLA	Liu, Zhen,et al."Labor Shrinkage and its Driving Forces in China from 1990 to 2015: A Geographical Analysis".APPLIED SPATIAL ANALYSIS AND POLICY (2021):26.