Precipitation analysis and forecasting using singular spectrum analysis with artificial neural networks

CORC > 生态环境研究中心 > 中国科学院生态环境研究中心 > 城市与区域生态国家重点实验室

	Precipitation analysis and forecasting using singular spectrum analysis with artificial neural networks
	Sun, Mingdong ; Li, Xuyong ; Kim, Gwangseob 1
刊名	CLUSTER COMPUTING-THE JOURNAL OF NETWORKS SOFTWARE TOOLS AND APPLICATIONS
	2019-09-01
卷号	22 页码:12633-12640
关键词	Precipitation forecasting Singular spectrum analysis (SSA) Linear recurrent formulas (LRF) Artificial neural networks (ANN)
ISSN号	1386-7857
英文摘要	The temporal variability monthly precipitation time series for Korea is decomposed using singular spectrum analysis (SSA) to detect hidden periodicity information in the data, and to compare the forecasting performance of combining linear recurrent formulas (LRFs) and artificial neural networks (ANNs). The SSA technique is used on monthly precipitation data to decompose and reconstruct the components, including a special inerratic feature for reconstruction and successful forecasting using LRF and ANN analysis. These components obtained using SSA indicate the behavior of the monthly precipitation data as a trend, or as periodic and/or quasi-periodic oscillations. The LRF and ANN methods were applied to several leading components to forecast the monthly precipitation. Results show that reconstruction and forecasting using the SSA-ANN model is more accurate than using the SSA-LRF model, especially for peak value forecasting. This validates the use of the SSA-ANN combined model for effective reconstruction and forecasting of monthly precipitation.
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.rcees.ac.cn/handle/311016/42446]
专题	生态环境研究中心_城市与区域生态国家重点实验室
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Res Ctr Ecoenvironm Sci, State Key Lab Urban & Reg Ecol, Shuangqing Rd 18, Beijing 100085, Haidian, Peoples R China 2.Kyungpook Natl Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Daegu, South Korea
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Sun, Mingdong,Li, Xuyong,Kim, Gwangseob. Precipitation analysis and forecasting using singular spectrum analysis with artificial neural networks[J]. CLUSTER COMPUTING-THE JOURNAL OF NETWORKS SOFTWARE TOOLS AND APPLICATIONS,2019,22:12633-12640.
APA	Sun, Mingdong,Li, Xuyong,&Kim, Gwangseob.(2019).Precipitation analysis and forecasting using singular spectrum analysis with artificial neural networks.CLUSTER COMPUTING-THE JOURNAL OF NETWORKS SOFTWARE TOOLS AND APPLICATIONS,22,12633-12640.
MLA	Sun, Mingdong,et al."Precipitation analysis and forecasting using singular spectrum analysis with artificial neural networks".CLUSTER COMPUTING-THE JOURNAL OF NETWORKS SOFTWARE TOOLS AND APPLICATIONS 22(2019):12633-12640.