A system dynamics model for billion trees tsunami afforestation project of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa in Pakistan: Model application to afforestation activities

doi:10.1007/s11629-018-5076-1

CORC > 成都山地灾害与环境研究所 > 中国科学院水利部成都山地灾害与环境研究所 > Journal of Mountain Science > Journal of Mountain Science-2019 > Vol16 No.11

	A system dynamics model for billion trees tsunami afforestation project of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa in Pakistan: Model application to afforestation activities
	Nazir, Naila; Farooq, Aqsa; Jan, Sajjad Ahmad; Ahmad, Aftab
刊名	JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE
	2019
卷号	16 期号:11 页码:2640-2653
关键词	Billion trees project Afforestation System dynamic model Forest area Deforestation Pakistan
ISSN号	1672-6316
DOI	10.1007/s11629-018-5076-1
文献子类	Article
英文摘要	As part of the global effort to plant billion trees, an afforestation project is launched in Pakistan in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) province to conserve existing forests and to increase area under forest cover. The present study is designed to build a Systems' model by incorporating major activities of the Billion Tree Tsunami Afforestation Project (BTTAP) with special focus on afforestation activities to estimate the growth in forest area of KP. Availability of complete dataset was a challenge. To fix the model, the raw data taken from the project office has been utilized. Planning Commission Form 1- Phase I & II helped us with additional information. We relied on the data available for one and half period of the project as rest of the data is subject to the completion of the project. Our results show that the project target to enhance area under forest differs from the target to afforest area under the project. The system dynamics' model projection shows that the forest area of KP would be 23.59 million hectares at the end of the BTTA project, thus having an increase of 3.29% instead of 2% that has been initially proposed. However, the results show that the progress to meet the target in some afforestation classes is slow as compared to other categories. Farm forestry, plantation on communal lands and owners' plantation need special focus of the authority. Deforestation would affect 0.02 million hectares area of the project. The model under study may be used as a reference model that can be replicated to other areas where billion tree campaigns are going on.
电子版国际标准刊号	1993-0321
语种	英语
WOS记录号	WOS:000495245200014
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/46619]
专题	Journal of Mountain Science_Journal of Mountain Science-2019_Vol16 No.11
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Nazir, Naila,Farooq, Aqsa,Jan, Sajjad Ahmad,et al. A system dynamics model for billion trees tsunami afforestation project of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa in Pakistan: Model application to afforestation activities[J]. JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE,2019,16(11):2640-2653.
APA	Nazir, Naila,Farooq, Aqsa,Jan, Sajjad Ahmad,&Ahmad, Aftab.(2019).A system dynamics model for billion trees tsunami afforestation project of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa in Pakistan: Model application to afforestation activities.JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE,16(11),2640-2653.
MLA	Nazir, Naila,et al."A system dynamics model for billion trees tsunami afforestation project of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa in Pakistan: Model application to afforestation activities".JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE 16.11(2019):2640-2653.