Multi-criteria decision making and fairness evaluation of water ecological carrying capacity for inter-regional green development
Chen, Yizhong2; Lu, Hongwei3; Li, Jing4; Yang, Yiyang1; Xia, Jun3,5
刊名ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH
2020-09-30
页码21
关键词Water ecological carrying capacity Multi-criteria decision analysis Fairness analysis Shale gas reserves Water resources Yangtze River Economic Zone
ISSN号0944-1344
DOI10.1007/s11356-020-10946-2
通讯作者Lu, Hongwei(luhw@igsnrr.ac.cn) ; Li, Jing(lijingb10@hebtu.edu.cn)
英文摘要Determining water ecological carrying capacity (WECC) is of great significance to ensure inter-regional green development. This study presents a comprehensive evaluation framework for WECC assessment in the Yangtze River Economic Zone (YREZ), China. Effects of water resources, socio-economic, and ecological elements on WECC can be evaluated based on multi-criteria decision analysis. Gini and unbalance coefficients are used for measuring the regional fairness between WECC and socio-economic development. Surface water production pressure (SWPP) and groundwater pollution risk (GPR) are further regarded as indicators for expressing water resources constraint on shale gas extraction in the YREZ. Results disclose that the average WECC level decreases from 0.439 in 2000 to 0.4007 in 2016, which is the opposite of the changing trend in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region. A high WECC level appears in Zhejiang (0.5126) with a good state, but that of Guizhou (0.3983), Anhui (0.3968), Hunan (0.3914), and Chongqing (0.3651) are at the alert state. The obstacle factors of WECC in the eastern YREZ mostly originate from socio-economic and water resource subsystems, while that in the middle and western YREZ mainly arise from water resources and ecological subsystems. Fairness analysis shows a well-matching characteristic between the overall WECC and socio-economic performances due to a majority of their Gini coefficients lower than 0.4, while a poor matching characteristic exists in terms of provincial differences owing to their varied unbalance coefficients, especially in Guizhou, Jiangsu, and Shanghai. Moreover, Chongqing with most of shale gas reserves is characterized by slight SWPP (1.0202) and GPR (0.0188), but the prospect of shale gas development in Sichuan is not optimistic due to its high SWPP (1.0846) and GPR (0.0647). Recycling of flowback and product waters can significantly lighten regional water resources pressure. This presented framework can be applied into many other Chinese cities (e.g., Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region) with slight modifications according to their actual situations for supporting water resource managers and government with decision making.
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[41890824] ; Natural Science Foundation of Hebei Province[E2020202117] ; Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program (STEP)[2019QZKK1003] ; Youth Top Talent Program of Hebei Provincial Department of Education[BJ2020019] ; Science Foundation of Hebei Normal University[L2019B36] ; Scientific and Technological Research Projects of Colleges and Universities in Hebei Province[QN2019054] ; Scientific and Technological Innovation Programs of Higher Education Institutions in Shanxi[2020L0731] ; Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences[WL2018003]
WOS关键词RIVER ECONOMIC BELT ; SHALE-GAS ; RISK-ASSESSMENT ; RESOURCES ; CHINA ; OPTIMIZATION ; DESIGN ; ENERGY ; MANAGEMENT ; POLICY
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种英语
出版者SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
WOS记录号WOS:000573786500001
资助机构National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Natural Science Foundation of Hebei Province ; Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program (STEP) ; Youth Top Talent Program of Hebei Provincial Department of Education ; Science Foundation of Hebei Normal University ; Scientific and Technological Research Projects of Colleges and Universities in Hebei Province ; Scientific and Technological Innovation Programs of Higher Education Institutions in Shanxi ; Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences
内容类型期刊论文
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/156989]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Lu, Hongwei; Li, Jing
作者单位1.North China Elect Power Univ, Sch Renewable Energy, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China
2.Hebei Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Tianjin 300401, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
4.Hebei Normal Univ, Hebei Technol Innovat Ctr Remote Sensing Identifi, Hebei Key Lab Environm Change & Ecol Construct, Coll Resources & Environm Sci, Shijiazhuang 050024, Hebei, Peoples R China
5.Wuhan Univ, State Key Lab Water Resources & Hydropower Engn S, Wuhan 430000, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Chen, Yizhong,Lu, Hongwei,Li, Jing,et al. Multi-criteria decision making and fairness evaluation of water ecological carrying capacity for inter-regional green development[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH,2020:21.
APA Chen, Yizhong,Lu, Hongwei,Li, Jing,Yang, Yiyang,&Xia, Jun.(2020).Multi-criteria decision making and fairness evaluation of water ecological carrying capacity for inter-regional green development.ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH,21.
MLA Chen, Yizhong,et al."Multi-criteria decision making and fairness evaluation of water ecological carrying capacity for inter-regional green development".ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH (2020):21.
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