Reduction in extreme climate events and potential impacts by the use of technological advances

doi:10.1002/joc.6971

	Reduction in extreme climate events and potential impacts by the use of technological advances
	Wei, Ting 2; Liu, Changxin 3; Dong, Wenjie 4; Yu, Haipeng 1; Yang, Shili 5; Yan, Qing 6; Hao, Zhixin 7
刊名	INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
	2021-01-03
页码	14
关键词	climate change mitigation climate extremes climate modelling future projections technological advances
ISSN号	0899-8418
DOI	10.1002/joc.6971
通讯作者	Liu, Changxin(liuchangxin@casisd.cn) ; Dong, Wenjie(dongwj3@mail.sysu.edu.cn)
英文摘要	Technological advances have the potential to balance climate change mitigation and economic development. However, it remains unclear how much technological advances alone can mitigate climate change and the associated economic losses in the future. Through designing a suite of technological advances scenarios and using an earth system model with an integrated assessment model, we illustrate that rapid technological progress without production control might achieve the 2 degrees C global warming target in the 2100s. Relative to a world of stagnant technology, the frequency (intensity) of extreme warm events at the end of the 21st century (2081-2100) would be reduced by similar to 21% (5.5 degrees C) via rapid technological advances, with a reduction in extreme precipitation (droughts) by similar to 41% (10 times). Furthermore, fast technological advances may reduce the global economic losses linked with climate change at 2081-2100 by similar to 21% and those in China related to floods (droughts) by 86% (67%). Our results highlight the potential of technological advances to fill the emission gap between the Paris Agreement and unconditional Nationally Determined Contributions and hence to efficiently mitigate global warming.
资助项目	National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFA0602704]
WOS关键词	TEMPERATURE ; CARBON ; DAMAGES ; INDEXES ; MODEL
WOS研究方向	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
语种	英语
出版者	WILEY
WOS记录号	WOS:000604261800001
资助机构	National Key Research and Development Program of China
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/136557]
专题	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者	Liu, Changxin; Dong, Wenjie
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Lab Land Surface Proc & Climate Change Cold & Ari, Lanzhou, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Meteorol Sci, State Key Lab Severe Weather, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Sci & Dev, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China 4.Sun Yat Sen Univ, Sch Atmospher Sci, Zhuhai 519082, Peoples R China 5.Beijing Meteorol Bur, Beijing Meteorol Observat Ctr, Beijing, Peoples R China 6.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, Nansen Zhu Int Res Ctr, Beijing, Peoples R China 7.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wei, Ting,Liu, Changxin,Dong, Wenjie,et al. Reduction in extreme climate events and potential impacts by the use of technological advances[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2021:14.
APA	Wei, Ting.,Liu, Changxin.,Dong, Wenjie.,Yu, Haipeng.,Yang, Shili.,...&Hao, Zhixin.(2021).Reduction in extreme climate events and potential impacts by the use of technological advances.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,14.
MLA	Wei, Ting,et al."Reduction in extreme climate events and potential impacts by the use of technological advances".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2021):14.