Insights into the transmission of respiratory infectious diseases through empirical human contact networks
Huang, Chunlin1,2; Liu, Xingwu1; Sun, Shiwei1; Li, Shuai Cheng3; Deng, Minghua4; He, Guangxue5; Zhang, Haicang1,2; Wang, Chao1,2; Zhou, Yang5; Zhao, Yanlin5
刊名SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
2016-08-16
卷号6页码:11
ISSN号2045-2322
DOI10.1038/srep31484
英文摘要In this study, we present representative human contact networks among Chinese college students. Unlike schools in the US, human contacts within Chinese colleges are extremely clustered, partly due to the highly organized lifestyle of Chinese college students. Simulations of influenza spreading across real contact networks are in good accordance with real influenza records; however, epidemic simulations across idealized scale-free or small-world networks show considerable overestimation of disease prevalence, thus challenging the widely-applied idealized human contact models in epidemiology. Furthermore, the special contact pattern within Chinese colleges results in disease spreading patterns distinct from those of the US schools. Remarkably, class cancelation, though simple, shows a mitigating power equal to quarantine/vaccination applied on similar to 25% of college students, which quantitatively explains its success in Chinese colleges during the SARS period. Our findings greatly facilitate reliable prediction of epidemic prevalence, and thus should help establishing effective strategies for respiratory infectious diseases control.
资助项目National Basic Research Program of China (973 Program)[2012CB316502] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[31270834] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[61272318] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[11175224] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[11121403] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[31171262] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[31428012] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[31471246] ; Open Project Program of State Key Laboratory of Theoretical Physics, Institute of Theoretical Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China[Y4KF171CJ1] ; GRF[CityU.11203115] ; National Key Basic Research Project of China[2015CB910303] ; National Key Basic Research Project of China[2016YFA0502303] ; National Key Basic Research Project of China[2014CB744403] ; National Scientific Key Program[2014ZX10003002]
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
语种英语
出版者NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP
WOS记录号WOS:000381503100001
内容类型期刊论文
源URL[http://119.78.100.204/handle/2XEOYT63/8223]  
专题中国科学院计算技术研究所期刊论文_英文
通讯作者Bu, Dongbo
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Comp Technol, Key Lab Intelligent Informat Proc, Beijing, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
3.City Univ Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
4.Peking Univ, Sch Math Sci, Ctr Quantitat Biol, Ctr Stat Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
5.Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Beijing, Peoples R China
6.Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Theoret Phys, Beijing, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Huang, Chunlin,Liu, Xingwu,Sun, Shiwei,et al. Insights into the transmission of respiratory infectious diseases through empirical human contact networks[J]. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,2016,6:11.
APA Huang, Chunlin.,Liu, Xingwu.,Sun, Shiwei.,Li, Shuai Cheng.,Deng, Minghua.,...&Bu, Dongbo.(2016).Insights into the transmission of respiratory infectious diseases through empirical human contact networks.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,6,11.
MLA Huang, Chunlin,et al."Insights into the transmission of respiratory infectious diseases through empirical human contact networks".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 6(2016):11.
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