Insights into the transmission of respiratory infectious diseases through empirical human contact networks | |
Huang, Chunlin1,2; Liu, Xingwu1; Sun, Shiwei1; Li, Shuai Cheng3; Deng, Minghua4; He, Guangxue5; Zhang, Haicang1,2; Wang, Chao1,2; Zhou, Yang5; Zhao, Yanlin5 | |
刊名 | SCIENTIFIC REPORTS |
2016-08-16 | |
卷号 | 6页码:11 |
ISSN号 | 2045-2322 |
DOI | 10.1038/srep31484 |
英文摘要 | In this study, we present representative human contact networks among Chinese college students. Unlike schools in the US, human contacts within Chinese colleges are extremely clustered, partly due to the highly organized lifestyle of Chinese college students. Simulations of influenza spreading across real contact networks are in good accordance with real influenza records; however, epidemic simulations across idealized scale-free or small-world networks show considerable overestimation of disease prevalence, thus challenging the widely-applied idealized human contact models in epidemiology. Furthermore, the special contact pattern within Chinese colleges results in disease spreading patterns distinct from those of the US schools. Remarkably, class cancelation, though simple, shows a mitigating power equal to quarantine/vaccination applied on similar to 25% of college students, which quantitatively explains its success in Chinese colleges during the SARS period. Our findings greatly facilitate reliable prediction of epidemic prevalence, and thus should help establishing effective strategies for respiratory infectious diseases control. |
资助项目 | National Basic Research Program of China (973 Program)[2012CB316502] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[31270834] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[61272318] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[11175224] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[11121403] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[31171262] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[31428012] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[31471246] ; Open Project Program of State Key Laboratory of Theoretical Physics, Institute of Theoretical Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China[Y4KF171CJ1] ; GRF[CityU.11203115] ; National Key Basic Research Project of China[2015CB910303] ; National Key Basic Research Project of China[2016YFA0502303] ; National Key Basic Research Project of China[2014CB744403] ; National Scientific Key Program[2014ZX10003002] |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
语种 | 英语 |
出版者 | NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000381503100001 |
内容类型 | 期刊论文 |
源URL | [http://119.78.100.204/handle/2XEOYT63/8223] |
专题 | 中国科学院计算技术研究所期刊论文_英文 |
通讯作者 | Bu, Dongbo |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Comp Technol, Key Lab Intelligent Informat Proc, Beijing, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.City Univ Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China 4.Peking Univ, Sch Math Sci, Ctr Quantitat Biol, Ctr Stat Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 5.Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Beijing, Peoples R China 6.Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Theoret Phys, Beijing, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Huang, Chunlin,Liu, Xingwu,Sun, Shiwei,et al. Insights into the transmission of respiratory infectious diseases through empirical human contact networks[J]. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,2016,6:11. |
APA | Huang, Chunlin.,Liu, Xingwu.,Sun, Shiwei.,Li, Shuai Cheng.,Deng, Minghua.,...&Bu, Dongbo.(2016).Insights into the transmission of respiratory infectious diseases through empirical human contact networks.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,6,11. |
MLA | Huang, Chunlin,et al."Insights into the transmission of respiratory infectious diseases through empirical human contact networks".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 6(2016):11. |
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