Learning to Predict Bus Arrival Time From Heterogeneous Measurements via Recurrent Neural Network
Pang, Junbiao1; Huang, Jing7; Du, Yong6; Yu, Haitao6; Huang, Qingming4,5; Yin, Baocai2,3
刊名IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS
2019-09-01
卷号20期号:9页码:3283-3293
关键词Bus arriving time prediction recurrent neural network heterogenous measurement long-range dependencies multi-step-ahead prediction
ISSN号1524-9050
DOI10.1109/TITS.2018.2873747
英文摘要Bus arrival time prediction intends to improve the level of the services provided by transportation agencies. Intuitively, many stochastic factors affect the predictability of the arrival time, e.g., weather and local events. Moreover, the arrival time prediction for a current station is closely correlated with that of multiple passed stations. Motivated by the observations above, this paper proposes to exploit the long-range dependencies among the multiple time steps for bus arrival prediction via recurrent neural network (RNN). Concretely, RNN with long short-term memory block is used to "correct" the prediction for a station by the correlated multiple passed stations. During the correlation among multiple stations, one-hot coding is introduced to fuse heterogeneous information into a unified vector space. Therefore, the proposed framework leverages the dynamic measurements (i.e., historical trajectory data) and the static observations (i.e., statistics of the infrastructure) for bus arrival time prediction. In order to fairly compare with the state-of-the-art methods, to the best of our knowledge, we have released the largest data set for this task. The experimental results demonstrate the superior performances of our approach on this data set.
资助项目Natural Science Foundation of China[61672069] ; Natural Science Foundation of China[61872333] ; Natural Science Foundation of China[61620106009] ; China Post-Doctoral Research Foundation ; Beijing Municipal Commission of Education[KM201610005034] ; Beijing Municipal Commission of Transport Science and Technology Project
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Transportation
语种英语
出版者IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC
WOS记录号WOS:000484207200008
内容类型期刊论文
源URL[http://119.78.100.204/handle/2XEOYT63/4762]  
专题中国科学院计算技术研究所期刊论文_英文
通讯作者Pang, Junbiao; Yu, Haitao
作者单位1.Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
2.Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
3.Dalian Univ Technol, Fac Elect Informat & Elect Engn, Dalian 116024, Peoples R China
4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Comp & Control Engn, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
5.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Comp Technol, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
6.Beijing Transportat Informat Ctr, Beijing 100161, Peoples R China
7.IBM China Investment Co Ltd, Beijing 10085, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Pang, Junbiao,Huang, Jing,Du, Yong,et al. Learning to Predict Bus Arrival Time From Heterogeneous Measurements via Recurrent Neural Network[J]. IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS,2019,20(9):3283-3293.
APA Pang, Junbiao,Huang, Jing,Du, Yong,Yu, Haitao,Huang, Qingming,&Yin, Baocai.(2019).Learning to Predict Bus Arrival Time From Heterogeneous Measurements via Recurrent Neural Network.IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS,20(9),3283-3293.
MLA Pang, Junbiao,et al."Learning to Predict Bus Arrival Time From Heterogeneous Measurements via Recurrent Neural Network".IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS 20.9(2019):3283-3293.
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