Scenario simulation of change of forest land in Poyang Lake watershed

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	Scenario simulation of change of forest land in Poyang Lake watershed
	Yan Haiming ; Zhan Jinyan ; Jiang QunOu(姜群鸥)
	2010
会议名称	International Conference on Ecological Informatics and Ecosystem Conservation, ISEIS 2010
会议日期	August 27, 2010 - August 29, 2010
会议地点	Beijing, China
通讯作者	Zhan Jinyan
英文摘要	Forest land is the largest carbon storage of the terrestrial ecosystem for its giant biomass and plays a very important and irreplaceable role in mitigating and adapting to the global climate change. Much attention has been paid to its function and role in alleviating and adapting to the global climate change, Poyang Lake watershed as one of the most important wetland nature reserve in the world is also one of the regions where forest land is most densely distributed in China. The authors have studied the spatial dynamics of the forest land in this region during the past 20 years based on panel data of four periods (1988, 1995, 2000, 2005), and comprehensively characterized its changing patterns under the macroscopic context of rapid economic growth, social change and technical progress. A simultaneous equations model was established and the significance ranking of various factors was obtained in order to analyze the driving mechanism of the spatial-temporal process of the forest land. Three scenarios, i.e. economic priority, ecologic conservation and constant scenarios were designed according to the driving mechanism and trends of economic, policy and technical progress. The module functions of Dynamic of Land System (DLS) were employed and extended to develop possible scenarios of spatial-temporal explicit expression of the forest land.
收录类别	EI
会议录	Procedia Environmental Sciences
会议录出版者	Elsevier
会议录出版地	P.O. Box 211, Amsterdam, 1000 AE, Netherlands
语种	英语
ISSN号	1878-0296
内容类型	会议论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/21957]
专题	地理科学与资源研究所_研究生部
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Yan Haiming,Zhan Jinyan,Jiang QunOu. Scenario simulation of change of forest land in Poyang Lake watershed[C]. 见:International Conference on Ecological Informatics and Ecosystem Conservation, ISEIS 2010. Beijing, China. August 27, 2010 - August 29, 2010.