Simulation of phytoplankton biomass in Quanzhou Bay using a back propagation network model and sensitivity analysis for environmental variables
Zheng Wei1; Shi Honghua1; Song Xikun2,3; Huang Dongren3; Hu Long4
刊名CHINESE JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY
2012-09
卷号30期号:5页码:843-851
关键词simulation phytoplankton biomass Quanzhou Bay back propagation (BP) network global sensitivity analysis
ISSN号0254-4059
DOI10.1007/s00343-012-1216-6
英文摘要Prediction and sensitivity models, to elucidate the response of phytoplankton biomass to environmental factors in Quanzhou Bay, Fujian, China, were developed using a back propagation (BP) network. The environmental indicators of coastal phytoplankton biomass were determined and monitoring data for the bay from 2008 was used to train, test and build a three-layer BP artificial neural network with multi-input and single-output. Ten water quality parameters were used to forecast phytoplankton biomass (measured as chlorophyll-a concentration). Correlation coefficient between biomass values predicted by the model and those observed was 0.964, whilst the average relative error of the network was -3.46% and average absolute error was 10.53%. The model thus has high level of accuracy and is suitable for analysis of the influence of aquatic environmental factors on phytoplankton biomass. A global sensitivity analysis was performed to determine the influence of different environmental indicators on phytoplankton biomass. Indicators were classified according to the sensitivity of response and its risk degree. The results indicate that the parameters most relevant to phytoplankton biomass are estuary-related and include pH, sea surface temperature, sea surface salinity, chemical oxygen demand and ammonium.
资助项目National Non-profit Institute Basic Research Fund[FIO2011T06]
WOS研究方向Marine & Freshwater Biology ; Oceanography
语种英语
出版者SCIENCE PRESS
WOS记录号WOS:000308357800016
内容类型期刊论文
源URL[http://ir.fio.com.cn/handle/2SI8HI0U/4075]  
专题业务部门_海岛海岸带研究中心
作者单位1.State Ocean Adm, Inst Oceanog 1, Qingdao 266061, Peoples R China;
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanog, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China;
3.Monitoring Ctr Marine Environm & Fishery Resource, Fuzhou 350003, Peoples R China;
4.Fudan Univ, Sch Math Sci, Shanghai 200433, Peoples R China
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Zheng Wei,Shi Honghua,Song Xikun,et al. Simulation of phytoplankton biomass in Quanzhou Bay using a back propagation network model and sensitivity analysis for environmental variables[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY,2012,30(5):843-851.
APA Zheng Wei,Shi Honghua,Song Xikun,Huang Dongren,&Hu Long.(2012).Simulation of phytoplankton biomass in Quanzhou Bay using a back propagation network model and sensitivity analysis for environmental variables.CHINESE JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY,30(5),843-851.
MLA Zheng Wei,et al."Simulation of phytoplankton biomass in Quanzhou Bay using a back propagation network model and sensitivity analysis for environmental variables".CHINESE JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY 30.5(2012):843-851.
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