Exploring impact of carbon tax on China&apos;s CO2 reductions and provincial   disparities

doi:10.1016/j.rser.2017.04.044

CORC > 北京大学 > 环境科学与工程学院

	Exploring impact of carbon tax on China's CO2 reductions and provincial disparities
	Dong, Huijuan ; Dai, Hancheng ; Geng, Yong ; Fujita, Tsuyoshi ; Liu, Zhe ; Xie, Yang ; Wu, Rui ; Fujii, Minoru ; Masui, Toshihiko ; Tang, Liang
刊名	RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS
	2017
关键词	Carbon tax Economic loss Carbon reduction CGE model Provincial disparity ECONOMIC-IMPACTS GUANGDONG PROVINCE SUBSIDY REFORM MITIGATION EMISSIONS MODEL SHANGHAI TARGETS POLICY GROWTH
DOI	10.1016/j.rser.2017.04.044
英文摘要	With fast development, it is not easy for China to achieve carbon reduction targets only by traditional command and control measures (e.g., the measures for energy-efficiency). Carbon tax is advocated as one effective complementary measure and has high possibility to be implemented for China's future low carbon development. Under such a circumstance, this paper aims at forecasting the possible impact of carbon tax on both carbon reduction and economic loss of 30 Chinese provinces. A 30-Chinese-province CGE (Computational general equilibrium) model has been developed to conduct the provincial evaluation, and seven scenarios including Business-as-Usual (BaU) scenario and six carbon tax scenarios with carbon price from 20 USD/ton to 120 USD/ton up to 2030 are set. The results show that China's industrial CO2 will be reduced from 12.2 billion tons under BaU scenario to 10.4 billion tons, 9.3 billion tons, 8.5 billion tons, 7.9 billion tons, 7.4 billion tons and 7.0 billion tons under scenarios of TAX20, TAX40, TAX60, TAX80, TAX100 and TAX120 in 2030, respectively. Electricity, Metal and Chemicals sectors have high reduction potentials and are priority sectors for carbon tax policy. Provincial disparity analysis demonstrates that coal production/consumption and total energy consumption are key factors to affect carbon tax effect on CO2 reduction, and Inner Mongolia, Shandong, Shanxi and Hebei have the largest industrial CO2 reduction potentials after levying carbon tax. However, the implementation of carbon tax will impede economic development for all provinces. Therefore, the concept of carbon tax efficiency is further proposed in order to evaluate the effectiveness of carbon tax by considering both CO2 reduction and GDP loss. Policy suggestions indicate that provinces of Shanxi, Inner Mongolia, Hebei and Anhui should be set priority when implementing carbon tax policy in China, and carbon price should be no more than 50 USD/ton.; Natural Science Foundation of China [71603165, 71690241, 71461137008, 71325006]; Startup Research Fund of College of Environmental Science and Engineering at Shanghai Jiao Tong University [WF220416001]; Startup Research Fund of College of Environmental Science and Engineering at Peking University; Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities through Shanghai Jiao Tong University [16JCCS04]; Shanghai Municipal Government Fund [17XD1401800]; Yunnan Provincial Research Academy of Environmental Science; Environment Research and Technology Development Fund - Ministry of the Environment, Japan [S-12-2]; SCI(E); SSCI; REVIEW; 596-603; 77
语种	英语
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.pku.edu.cn/handle/20.500.11897/469016]
专题	环境科学与工程学院
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Dong, Huijuan,Dai, Hancheng,Geng, Yong,et al. Exploring impact of carbon tax on China's CO2 reductions and provincial disparities[J]. RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS,2017.
APA	Dong, Huijuan.,Dai, Hancheng.,Geng, Yong.,Fujita, Tsuyoshi.,Liu, Zhe.,...&Tang, Liang.(2017).Exploring impact of carbon tax on China's CO2 reductions and provincial disparities.RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS.
MLA	Dong, Huijuan,et al."Exploring impact of carbon tax on China's CO2 reductions and provincial disparities".RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS (2017).