Trends of Extreme Precipitation in Eastern China and Their Possible   Causes

doi:10.1007/s00376-015-5002-1

CORC > 北京大学 > 环境科学与工程学院

	Trends of Extreme Precipitation in Eastern China and Their Possible Causes
	Liu Run ; Liu Shaw Chen ; Cicerone, Ralph J. ; Shiu Chein-Jung ; Li Jun ; Wang Jingli ; Zhang Yuanhang
刊名	ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
	2015
关键词	extreme precipitation global warming aerosols meteorological risk of floods and droughts SULFUR-DIOXIDE EMISSIONS INTENSE PRECIPITATION INTERDECADAL CHANGES HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE INCREASING TREND SECULAR TRENDS RAIN EVENTS CLIMATE TEMPERATURE ASIA
DOI	10.1007/s00376-015-5002-1
英文摘要	Significant increases of heavy precipitation and decreases of light precipitation have been reported over widespread regions of the globe. Global warming and effects of anthropogenic aerosols have both been proposed as possible causes of these changes. We examine data from urban and rural meteorological stations in eastern China (1955-2011) and compare them with Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) data (1979-2007) and reanalysis data in various latitude zones to study changes in precipitation extremes. Significant decreases in light precipitation and increases in heavy precipitation are found at both rural and urban stations, as well as low latitudes over the ocean, while total precipitation shows little change. Characteristics of these changes and changes in the equatorial zone and other latitudes suggest that global warming rather than aerosol effects is the primary cause of the changes. In eastern China, increases of annual total dry days (28 days) and a parts per thousand yen10 consecutive dry days (36%) are due to the decrease in light precipitation days, thereby establishing a causal link among global warming, changes in precipitation extremes, and higher meteorological risk of floods and droughts. Further, results derived from the GPCP data and reanalysis data suggest that the causal link exists over widespread regions of the globe.; This work was supported in part by the Chinese Academy of Sciences Strategic Priority Research Program; the Clean Air Research Project in China; the Sustainable Development Research Project of Academia Sinica, Consortium for Climate Change Study, funded by the National Science Council; SCI(E); 中国科技核心期刊(ISTIC); 中国科学引文数据库(CSCD); ARTICLE; shawliu@gate.sinica.edu.tw; yhzhang@pku.edu.cn; 8; 1027-1037; 32
语种	英语
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.pku.edu.cn/handle/20.500.11897/414981]
专题	环境科学与工程学院
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Liu Run,Liu Shaw Chen,Cicerone, Ralph J.,et al. Trends of Extreme Precipitation in Eastern China and Their Possible Causes[J]. ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES,2015.
APA	Liu Run.,Liu Shaw Chen.,Cicerone, Ralph J..,Shiu Chein-Jung.,Li Jun.,...&Zhang Yuanhang.(2015).Trends of Extreme Precipitation in Eastern China and Their Possible Causes.ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES.
MLA	Liu Run,et al."Trends of Extreme Precipitation in Eastern China and Their Possible Causes".ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES (2015).