Climate change, wine, and conservation

doi:10.1073/pnas.1210127110

CORC > 北京大学 > 生命科学学院

	Climate change, wine, and conservation
	Hannah, Lee ; Roehrdanz, Patrick R. ; Ikegami, Makihiko ; Shepard, Anderson V. ; Shaw, M. Rebecca ; Tabor, Gary ; Zhi, Lu ; Marquet, Pablo A. ; Hijmans, Robert J.
刊名	proceedings of the national academy of sciences of the united states of america
	2013
关键词	vinecology wildlife ecosystem services NORTHERN CALIFORNIA BIODIVERSITY IMPACTS LAND DISTRIBUTIONS VULNERABILITY THREATS GROWTH SHIFTS AREAS
DOI	10.1073/pnas.1210127110
英文摘要	Climate change is expected to impact ecosystems directly, such as through shifting climatic controls on species ranges, and indirectly, for example through changes in human land use that may result in habitat loss. Shifting patterns of agricultural production in response to climate change have received little attention as a potential impact pathway for ecosystems. Wine grape production provides a good test case for measuring indirect impacts mediated by changes in agriculture, because viticulture is sensitive to climate and is concentrated in Mediterranean climate regions that are global biodiversity hotspots. Here we demonstrate that, on a global scale, the impacts of climate change on viticultural suitability are substantial, leading to possible conservation conflicts in land use and freshwater ecosystems. Area suitable for viticulture decreases 25% to 73% in major wine producing regions by 2050 in the higher RCP 8.5 concentration pathway and 19% to 62% in the lower RCP 4.5. Climate change may cause establishment of vineyards at higher elevations that will increase impacts on upland ecosystems and may lead to conversion of natural vegetation as production shifts to higher latitudes in areas such as western North America. Attempts to maintain wine grape productivity and quality in the face of warming may be associated with increased water use for irrigation and to cool grapes through misting or sprinkling, creating potential for freshwater conservation impacts. Agricultural adaptation and conservation efforts are needed that anticipate these multiple possible indirect effects.; Multidisciplinary Sciences; SCI(E); 29; ARTICLE; 17; 6907-6912; 110
语种	英语
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.pku.edu.cn/handle/20.500.11897/391871]
专题	生命科学学院
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Hannah, Lee,Roehrdanz, Patrick R.,Ikegami, Makihiko,et al. Climate change, wine, and conservation[J]. proceedings of the national academy of sciences of the united states of america,2013.
APA	Hannah, Lee.,Roehrdanz, Patrick R..,Ikegami, Makihiko.,Shepard, Anderson V..,Shaw, M. Rebecca.,...&Hijmans, Robert J..(2013).Climate change, wine, and conservation.proceedings of the national academy of sciences of the united states of america.
MLA	Hannah, Lee,et al."Climate change, wine, and conservation".proceedings of the national academy of sciences of the united states of america (2013).