Projections of Future Land Use in Bangladesh under the Background of Baseline, Ecological Protection and Economic Development

doi:10.3390/su9040505

	Projections of Future Land Use in Bangladesh under the Background of Baseline, Ecological Protection and Economic Development
	Hasan, Shaikh Shamim 1,2,3,4; Deng, Xiangzheng 1,3; Li, Zhihui 1,2,3; Chen, Dongdong 5
刊名	SUSTAINABILITY
	2017-04-01
卷号	9 期号:4 页码:21
关键词	land use change projection ecological protection economic development dynamics of land system (DLS) model Bangladesh
ISSN号	2071-1050
DOI	10.3390/su9040505
通讯作者	Deng, Xiangzheng(dengxz.ccap@igsnrr.ac.cn)
英文摘要	Land is one of the important input resources in a highly populous and land-scarce country such as Bangladesh. When different factors change (such as, geophysical, proximity, socioeconomic and climatic), there are dramatic changes in the spatial pattern of land uses. Thus, shedding light on the dynamics of land use and land cover changes has great importance for finding the changing pattern of land use in Bangladesh. In the present study, we predicted the land use and land cover changes from 2010 to 2030 under baseline, ecological protection priority and economic growth scenarios in Bangladesh. On this basis, we applied a previously developed Dynamics of Land Systems (DLS) model to simulate the changes in land uses according to the driving mechanisms. The findings indicate that cultivated land declines and built-up area expansion is common under all three scenarios. However, the future land use demand shows differences under different scenarios. The results under the ecological protection priority scenario shows that forest area and grassland will increase more, while under economic growth scenario, built-up area will expand dramatically in the future. The present research results furnish meaningful decision-making information for planners to conserve and/or exploit land resources in Bangladesh in a more sustainable manner.
资助项目	National Natural Science Funds of China[71225005] ; STS-Network Project of Chinese Academy of Sciences[KFJ-EW-STS-058]
WOS关键词	SCENARIO SIMULATION ; USE/COVER CHANGE ; NORTHEAST CHINA ; WEIGHTED KAPPA ; CHANGE MODELS ; UPPER REACHES ; MARKOV-CHAIN ; COVER CHANGE ; RELIABILITY ; AGREEMENT
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种	英语
出版者	MDPI AG
WOS记录号	WOS:000402090300028
资助机构	National Natural Science Funds of China ; STS-Network Project of Chinese Academy of Sciences
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/63515]
专题	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者	Deng, Xiangzheng
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Chinese Agr Policy, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 4.Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujibur Rahman Agr Univ, Dept Agr Extens & Rural Dev, Gazipur 1706, Bangladesh 5.Hubei Univ, Fac Resources & Environm Sci, Wuhan 430062, Hubei, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Hasan, Shaikh Shamim,Deng, Xiangzheng,Li, Zhihui,et al. Projections of Future Land Use in Bangladesh under the Background of Baseline, Ecological Protection and Economic Development[J]. SUSTAINABILITY,2017,9(4):21.
APA	Hasan, Shaikh Shamim,Deng, Xiangzheng,Li, Zhihui,&Chen, Dongdong.(2017).Projections of Future Land Use in Bangladesh under the Background of Baseline, Ecological Protection and Economic Development.SUSTAINABILITY,9(4),21.
MLA	Hasan, Shaikh Shamim,et al."Projections of Future Land Use in Bangladesh under the Background of Baseline, Ecological Protection and Economic Development".SUSTAINABILITY 9.4(2017):21.