Modeling the Relative Contributions of Land Use Change and Harvest to Forest Landscape Change in the Taihe County, China

doi:10.3390/su9050708

	Modeling the Relative Contributions of Land Use Change and Harvest to Forest Landscape Change in the Taihe County, China
	Wu, Zhuo 1,2; Ge, Quansheng 1,2; Dai, Erfu 1,2
刊名	SUSTAINABILITY
	2017-05-01
卷号	9 期号:5 页码:17
关键词	land use change forest landscape relative contributions CA-Markov model LANDIS-II
ISSN号	2071-1050
DOI	10.3390/su9050708
通讯作者	Ge, Quansheng(geqs@igsnrr.ac.cn)
英文摘要	Forests are under pressure from land use change due to anthropogenic activities. Land use change and harvest are the main disturbances of forest landscape changes. Few studies have focused on the relative contributions of different disturbances. In this study, we used the CA-Markov model, a land-use change model, coupled with a forest landscape model, LANDIS-II, to simulate dynamic change in Taihe County, China, from 2010 to 2050. Scenarios analysis was conducted to quantify the relative contributions of land use change and harvest. Our results show that forestland and arable land will remain the primary land-use types in 2050, whereas the built-up land will sprawl drastically. Land use change and harvest may result in the significant loss of forest area and changes in landscape structure. The simulated forest area will increase by 16.2% under the no disturbance scenario. However, under harvest, forest conversion, and integrated scenario, the area will be reduced by 5.2%, 16.5%, and 34.9%, respectively. The effect of harvest is gradually enhanced. The land use change will account for 60% and harvest will account for 40% of forest landscape change in 2050, respectively. Our results may benefit from the integration of regional forest management and land-use policy-making, and help to achieve a trade-off between economy and ecological environment.
资助项目	National Key Basic Research Program of China (973 Program)[2015CB452702] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41571098] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41530749] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41371196] ; Key Programs of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[ZDRW-ZS-2016-6-4] ; A Major Consulting Project of Strategic Development Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences[Y02015003]
WOS关键词	NORTHERN HARDWOOD FORESTS ; TREE SPECIES MIGRATION ; SOUTH-CENTRAL SIBERIA ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; GLOBAL CHANGE ; MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES ; ABOVEGROUND BIOMASS ; SPATIALLY EXPLICIT ; SIMULATION-MODEL ; UNITED-STATES
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种	英语
出版者	MDPI AG
WOS记录号	WOS:000404127800033
资助机构	National Key Basic Research Program of China (973 Program) ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Key Programs of the Chinese Academy of Sciences ; A Major Consulting Project of Strategic Development Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/62980]
专题	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者	Ge, Quansheng
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wu, Zhuo,Ge, Quansheng,Dai, Erfu. Modeling the Relative Contributions of Land Use Change and Harvest to Forest Landscape Change in the Taihe County, China[J]. SUSTAINABILITY,2017,9(5):17.
APA	Wu, Zhuo,Ge, Quansheng,&Dai, Erfu.(2017).Modeling the Relative Contributions of Land Use Change and Harvest to Forest Landscape Change in the Taihe County, China.SUSTAINABILITY,9(5),17.
MLA	Wu, Zhuo,et al."Modeling the Relative Contributions of Land Use Change and Harvest to Forest Landscape Change in the Taihe County, China".SUSTAINABILITY 9.5(2017):17.