Hierarchical determinants of winter wheat abandonment in the North China Plain: A case study of Xingzhuangzi village in Hebei Province

doi:10.1016/j.njas.2016.11.005

	Hierarchical determinants of winter wheat abandonment in the North China Plain: A case study of Xingzhuangzi village in Hebei Province
	Wang, Xue 1,2; Li, Xiubin 1,2; Tan, Minghong 1,2; Xin, Liangjie 1; Wang, Renjing 1,2; Li, Shengfa 1,2
刊名	NJAS-WAGENINGEN JOURNAL OF LIFE SCIENCES
	2017-03-01
卷号	80 页码:49-56
关键词	Agricultural land use change Multi-level modelling Water availability Household agricultural labor availability Water-scarce areas
ISSN号	1573-5214
DOI	10.1016/j.njas.2016.11.005
通讯作者	Wang, Xue(wangxue@igsnrr.ac.cn) ; Li, Xiubin(lixb@igsnrr.nac.cn)
英文摘要	Since the late 1990s, the North China Plain (NCP) has undergone large-scale shrinkage of area sown to winter wheat, accompanying with traditional double cropping system being replaced by spring corns. However, studies on the underlying determinants are rarely found. The goal of this paper is to detect the hierarchical determinants on farmers' cropping system decisions. A case study was carried out in Xingzhuangzi village of Hebei province, and multi-level statistic models were constructed using household survey data. Results show that plot level and household level were both crucial in explaining farmers' land use decisions: winter wheat was more likely to be abandoned on plots with lower land quality, unable to be irrigated, and with larger plot areas; at household level, both the non-agricultural income ratio and the land fragmentation played positive roles on farmers' abandonment of winter wheat while the role of household agricultural labor availability was negative. There was also a nonlinear relationship between average age of households' agricultural laborers and their cropping system decisions, and middle-aged farmers had a lower probability to abandon winter wheat. Overall, this paper provides empirical identification on hierarchical determinants of agricultural land use change in the NCP, and encourages policies aiming at adjustment of cropping systems, integration management of both surface and groundwater, and promotion of land transfer, in order to achieve the twin goals of ecological conservation and food security in water-scarce areas. (C) 2016 Royal Netherlands Society for Agricultural Sciences. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
资助项目	NSFC-IIASA International Cooperation and Exchange Program[41161140352] ; Natural Science Foundation of China[41271119]
WOS关键词	LAND-USE ; CROPLAND ABANDONMENT ; URBAN EXPANSION ; WATER-BALANCE ; AREA ; HOUSEHOLD ; IMPACT ; FRAGMENTATION ; CONSUMPTION ; FOOTPRINT
WOS研究方向	Agriculture
语种	英语
出版者	ROYAL NETHERLANDS SOC AGR SCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000409294100005
资助机构	NSFC-IIASA International Cooperation and Exchange Program ; Natural Science Foundation of China
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/61715]
专题	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者	Wang, Xue; Li, Xiubin
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wang, Xue,Li, Xiubin,Tan, Minghong,et al. Hierarchical determinants of winter wheat abandonment in the North China Plain: A case study of Xingzhuangzi village in Hebei Province[J]. NJAS-WAGENINGEN JOURNAL OF LIFE SCIENCES,2017,80:49-56.
APA	Wang, Xue,Li, Xiubin,Tan, Minghong,Xin, Liangjie,Wang, Renjing,&Li, Shengfa.(2017).Hierarchical determinants of winter wheat abandonment in the North China Plain: A case study of Xingzhuangzi village in Hebei Province.NJAS-WAGENINGEN JOURNAL OF LIFE SCIENCES,80,49-56.
MLA	Wang, Xue,et al."Hierarchical determinants of winter wheat abandonment in the North China Plain: A case study of Xingzhuangzi village in Hebei Province".NJAS-WAGENINGEN JOURNAL OF LIFE SCIENCES 80(2017):49-56.