| Rapid warming in the Tibetan Plateau from observations and CMIP5 models in recent decades | |
| You, Qinglong1; Min, Jinzhong1; Kang, Shichang2 | |
| 刊名 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
 |
| 2016-05-01 | |
| 卷号 | 36期号:6页码:2660-2670 |
| 关键词 | Tibetan Plateau CMIP5 climate warming hiatus |
| ISSN号 | 0899-8418 |
| DOI | 10.1002/joc.4520 |
| 通讯作者 | You, Qinglong(yqingl@126.com) |
| 英文摘要 | On the basis of mean temperature, maximum temperature and minimum temperature from the updated China Homogenized Historical Temperature Data Sets, the recent warming in the Tibetan Plateau (TP) during 1961-2005 and global warming hiatus period are examined. During 1961-2005, the mean temperature, maximum temperature and minimum temperature in the whole TP show a statistically increasing trend especially after the 1980s, with the annual rates of 0.27, 0.19 and 0.36 degrees C decade(-1), respectively. The performance of 26 general circulation models (GCMs) available in the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) is evaluated in the TP by comparison with the observations during 1961-2005. Most CMIP5 GCMs can capture the decadal variations of the observed mean temperature, maximum temperature and minimum temperature, and have significant positive correlations with observations (R > 0.5), with root mean squared error <1 degrees C. This suggests that CMIP5 GCMs can reproduce the recent temperature evolution in the TP, but with cold biases. However, most CMIP5 GCMs underestimate the observed warming rates, especially the CNRM-CM5, GISS-E2-H and MRI-CGCM3 models. There are significant positive correlations between the trend magnitudes and the anomaly of the mean temperature, maximum temperature and minimum temperature, with correlations of 0.85, 0.86 and 0.87, respectively. The warming from the observations and CMIP5 mean in the TP is significant during the global hiatus period, consistent with decreasing snow cover and albedo in the region. This study suggests that positive snow/ice-albedo feedback processes may account for ongoing surface warming in the TP despite the pause in global mean surface warming. |
| 收录类别 | SCI |
| WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; TEMPERATURE ; HIATUS ; TRENDS ; CHINA ; SIMULATIONS ; VARIABILITY ; MAXIMUM ; PAUSE |
| WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
| WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 出版者 | WILEY-BLACKWELL |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000375604000019 |
| 内容类型 | 期刊论文 |
| URI标识 | http://www.corc.org.cn/handle/1471x/2557320 |
| 专题 | 寒区旱区环境与工程研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | You, Qinglong |
| 作者单位 | 1.Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Earth Syst Modeling Ctr, Minist Educ, Key Lab Meteorol Disaster, Nanjing 210044, Jiangsu, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Cryospher Sci, Cold & Arid Reg Environm & Engn Res Inst, Lanzhou, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | You, Qinglong,Min, Jinzhong,Kang, Shichang. Rapid warming in the Tibetan Plateau from observations and CMIP5 models in recent decades[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2016,36(6):2660-2670. |
| APA | You, Qinglong,Min, Jinzhong,&Kang, Shichang.(2016).Rapid warming in the Tibetan Plateau from observations and CMIP5 models in recent decades.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,36(6),2660-2670. |
| MLA | You, Qinglong,et al."Rapid warming in the Tibetan Plateau from observations and CMIP5 models in recent decades".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 36.6(2016):2660-2670. |
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