The prospects for China's food security and imports: Will China starve the world via imports?

doi:10.1016/S2095-3119(17)61756-8

	The prospects for China's food security and imports: Will China starve the world via imports?
	Huang Ji-kun 1,2; Wei Wei 2,3; Cui Qi 1; Xie Wei 1
刊名	JOURNAL OF INTEGRATIVE AGRICULTURE
	2017-12-01
卷号	16 期号:12 页码:2933-2944
关键词	food security food supply import China global
ISSN号	2095-3119
DOI	10.1016/S2095-3119(17)61756-8
通讯作者	Huang Ji-kun(jkhuang.ccap@pku.edu.cn)
英文摘要	China's food supply and demand have significant implications for both China's own national food security and that of the world. This study reviews China's food security prospects and their implications, focusing on international trade in the coming decade. The results show that China's policies for ensuring food security will be enhanced and China will move to sustainable agriculture. Most studies anticipate that China will increase its food and feed imports in the coming decade. China's overall food self-sufficiency is likely to fall from 94.5% in 2015 to around 91% by 2025. The greatest increases in imports are likely to be soybean, maize, sugar, and dairy products. However, within the production capacity of the major exporting countries and of many food-importing developing countries, China's additional imports of 3 to 5% of its total food consumption in the coming decade are unlikely to threaten global food security. Indeed, the projected imports of feed and several foods could provide opportunities for many exporting countries to expand their production and save global resources.
资助项目	National Natural Science Foundation of China[71333013] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71503243] ; Chinese Academy of Sciences[Y02015004] ; Chinese Academy of Sciences[GJHZ1312] ; Tsinghua University, China[CIRS2016-03] ; China Postdoctoral Science Foundation[2017M610710]
WOS关键词	TECHNOLOGICAL-CHANGE ; RURAL-DEVELOPMENT ; DEMAND ; GROWTH ; POLICY ; TRADE ; WATER ; AGRICULTURE ; EMERGENCE ; QUALITY
WOS研究方向	Agriculture
语种	英语
出版者	ELSEVIER SCI LTD
WOS记录号	WOS:000418345800025
资助机构	National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Tsinghua University, China ; China Postdoctoral Science Foundation
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/56770]
专题	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者	Huang Ji-kun
作者单位	1.Peking Univ, Sch Adv Agr Sci, China Ctr Agr Policy, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Ctr Chinese Agr Policy, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Huang Ji-kun,Wei Wei,Cui Qi,et al. The prospects for China's food security and imports: Will China starve the world via imports?[J]. JOURNAL OF INTEGRATIVE AGRICULTURE,2017,16(12):2933-2944.
APA	Huang Ji-kun,Wei Wei,Cui Qi,&Xie Wei.(2017).The prospects for China's food security and imports: Will China starve the world via imports?.JOURNAL OF INTEGRATIVE AGRICULTURE,16(12),2933-2944.
MLA	Huang Ji-kun,et al."The prospects for China's food security and imports: Will China starve the world via imports?".JOURNAL OF INTEGRATIVE AGRICULTURE 16.12(2017):2933-2944.