Comparison of climatic impacts transmission from temperature to grain harvests and economies between the Han (206 BC-AD 220) and Tang (AD 618-907) dynasties

doi:10.1177/0959683618782592

	Comparison of climatic impacts transmission from temperature to grain harvests and economies between the Han (206 BC-AD 220) and Tang (AD 618-907) dynasties
	Wei, Zhudeng 1,2; Fang, Xiuqi 2; Su, Yun 2; Li, Beibei 1,3; Wei, Xueqiong 1; Yin, Jun 4
刊名	HOLOCENE
	2018-10-01
卷号	28 期号:10 页码:1598-1608
关键词	China climatic impacts chain comparison Han Dynasty quantitative analysis Tang Dynasty
ISSN号	0959-6836
DOI	10.1177/0959683618782592
通讯作者	Wei, Zhudeng(weizhudeng@126.com)
英文摘要	The present study aims to compare quantitatively the similarities and differences of transmission processes extending from climate change to grain harvests and economies (macro-economy and fiscal balance) between the Han (206 BC-AD 220) and Tang (AD 618-907) dynasties of China. It is found that both the Han and Tang periods displayed close positive correlations among temperature, grain harvest, macro-economy and fiscal balance and conveyed a positive feedback-oriented transmission pattern with the upgrade of climatic impact level from grain harvest to economic system. Compared with the Han period, the overall linkages among indicators weakened during the Tang period, particularly for the correlation between grain harvest and fiscal balance. The mean temperature during the Tang period was slightly higher but had greater multidecadal variability, coinciding with better performance (and less variations) of macro-economy and fiscal balance (particularly for cold units) and higher variations of grain harvest. It displayed relatively little difference for the main pathways that could be interpreted as climatic impacts during the warm units between the Han and Tang periods, and both approximately 33% of the decades for warm units (100%) ending with fiscal balance/surplus were more likely to be associated with the impacts of temperature change. The difference mainly lies in cold units in the links of 'cold -> poor harvest' and 'poor harvest -> macro-economic depression' through the pathway of 'cold -> poor harvest -> macro-economic depression/normal economy -> fiscal deficiency'. Overall, macro-economy and fiscal system of the Tang period displayed less sensitivity to temperature change and agriculture production in cold period. Those patterns might be related with the unique socio-economic situations such as agricultural fragmentation, southward shift of economic resource and tax system reform during the later Tang Dynasty.
资助项目	National Natural Science Foundation of China[41401217] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA19040101] ; Start-Up Foundation for Advanced Talents of Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology[2015r063]
WOS关键词	NORTH CHINA ; FLUCTUATIONS ; WAR ; RESPONSES ; EVOLUTION ; COLLAPSE ; SYSTEMS ; CYCLES
WOS研究方向	Physical Geography ; Geology
语种	英语
出版者	SAGE PUBLICATIONS LTD
WOS记录号	WOS:000452156700006
资助机构	National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Start-Up Foundation for Advanced Talents of Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/51375]
专题	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者	Wei, Zhudeng
作者单位	1.Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Inst Hist Sci & Technol, Nanjing 210044, Jiangsu, Peoples R China 2.Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Jiangsu Key Lab Agr Meteorol, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wei, Zhudeng,Fang, Xiuqi,Su, Yun,et al. Comparison of climatic impacts transmission from temperature to grain harvests and economies between the Han (206 BC-AD 220) and Tang (AD 618-907) dynasties[J]. HOLOCENE,2018,28(10):1598-1608.
APA	Wei, Zhudeng,Fang, Xiuqi,Su, Yun,Li, Beibei,Wei, Xueqiong,&Yin, Jun.(2018).Comparison of climatic impacts transmission from temperature to grain harvests and economies between the Han (206 BC-AD 220) and Tang (AD 618-907) dynasties.HOLOCENE,28(10),1598-1608.
MLA	Wei, Zhudeng,et al."Comparison of climatic impacts transmission from temperature to grain harvests and economies between the Han (206 BC-AD 220) and Tang (AD 618-907) dynasties".HOLOCENE 28.10(2018):1598-1608.