Predicting short-term F-10.7 with transport models

doi:10.1007/s10509-018-3476-x

	Predicting short-term F-10.7 with transport models
	Liu, Cheng-ao; Zhao, Xin-hua; Chen, Tao; Li, Hui-chao
刊名	ASTROPHYSICS AND SPACE SCIENCE
	2018
卷号	363 期号:12 页码:266
关键词	Solar magnetic fields Flux transport model F-10.7
ISSN号	0004-640X
DOI	10.1007/s10509-018-3476-x
英文摘要	A solar magnetic flux transport model has the ability to demonstrate the magnetic evolution of the Sun, thus providing a foundation for space weather forecasting. Solar activities have close relationships to the Sun's magnetic fields. To predict the Sun's magnetic environment more precisely, many versions of magnetic flux rope models have been developed. We utilized two models that were created by Yeates et al. (Sol. Phys. 245(1):87, 2007) (hereinafter referred to as the Y model) and Worden and Harvey (Sol. Phys. 195(2):247, 2000) (hereinafter referred to as the WH model) to predict the short-term changes of 10.7cm radio flux (F10.7) during 2003-2014. Both models performed very well in estimating F10.7 values. The statistical results of analyzing the correlation coefficient, mean absolute error, mean square error, relative error, frequency distribution, etc. show that the Y model is superior to the WH model. The meridional flow and diffusion process used in the WH model do not agree with the observations. Such discrepancies may influence estimates of the global flux.
语种	英语
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.nssc.ac.cn/handle/122/6606]
专题	国家空间科学中心_空间科学部
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Liu, Cheng-ao,Zhao, Xin-hua,Chen, Tao,et al. Predicting short-term F-10.7 with transport models[J]. ASTROPHYSICS AND SPACE SCIENCE,2018,363(12):266.
APA	Liu, Cheng-ao,Zhao, Xin-hua,Chen, Tao,&Li, Hui-chao.(2018).Predicting short-term F-10.7 with transport models.ASTROPHYSICS AND SPACE SCIENCE,363(12),266.
MLA	Liu, Cheng-ao,et al."Predicting short-term F-10.7 with transport models".ASTROPHYSICS AND SPACE SCIENCE 363.12(2018):266.