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	Visualized Exploratory Spatiotemporal Analysis of Hand-Foot-Mouth Disease in Southern China
	Huang J. X.; Wang, J. F.; Li, Z. J.; Wang, Y.; Lai, S. J.; Yang, W. Z.
	2015
关键词	transmission dynamics brucellosis model infection time epidemic taiwan
英文摘要	Objectives In epidemiological research, major studies have focused on theoretical models; however, few methods of visual analysis have been used to display the patterns of disease distribution. Design For this study, a method combining the space-time cube (STC) with space-time scan statistics (STSS) was used to analyze the pattern of incidence of hand-foot-mouth disease (HFMD) in Guangdong Province from May 2008 to March 2009. In this research, STC was used to display the spatiotemporal pattern of incidence of HFMD, and STSS were used to detect the local aggregations of the disease. Setting The hand-foot-mouth disease data were obtained from Guangdong Province from May 2008 to March 2009, with a total of 68,130 cases. Results The STC analysis revealed a differential pattern of HFMD incidence among different months and cities and also showed that the population density and average precipitation are correlated with the incidence of HFMD. The STSS analysis revealed that the most likely aggregation includes the Shenzhen, Foshan and Dongguan populations, which are the most developed regions in Guangdong Province. Conclusion Both STC and STSS are efficient tools for the exploratory data analysis of disease transmission. STC clearly displays the spatiotemporal patterns of disease. Using the maximum likelihood ratio, the STSS model precisely locates the most likely aggregation.
出处	Plos One
卷	10
期	11
语种	英语
ISSN号	1932-6203
DOI标识	10.1371/journal.pone.0143411
内容类型	SCI/SSCI论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/43535]
专题	地理科学与资源研究所_历年回溯文献
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Huang J. X.,Wang, J. F.,Li, Z. J.,et al. Visualized Exploratory Spatiotemporal Analysis of Hand-Foot-Mouth Disease in Southern China. 2015.

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