Projection of Climate Change Scenarios in Different Temperature Zones in the Eastern Monsoon Region, China

doi:10.3390/w9050305

	Projection of Climate Change Scenarios in Different Temperature Zones in the Eastern Monsoon Region, China
	Liu, P (Liu, Pin)1; Xu, ZX (Xu, Zongxue)1; Li, XP (Li, Xiuping)2; Xu, ZX
刊名	WATER
	2017
卷号	9 期号:5 页码:305
关键词	CIRCULATION MODEL OUTPUT CHANGE IMPACTS RIVER-BASIN PRECIPITATION GCMS TOOL
DOI	10.3390/w9050305
文献子类	Article
英文摘要	The Eastern Monsoon Region of China is sensitive to climate change because of its special location. In this study, the Automated Statistical Downscaling (ASD) tool was used to simulate and project future climate change scenarios in different temperate zones in the Eastern Monsoon Region of China. The performances of the single General Circulation Model (GCM) and the GCMs ensemble from Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) were compared, and the capability of the ASD model was evaluated. The simple mathematical averaging ensemble of GCMs is superior to the single GCM and to the other two weighted ensembles. The ASD model was capable of presenting the temporal and spatial variation of four variables (precipitation, mean air temperature, maximum and minimum air temperature) during both the calibration and validation periods. The performance of the ASD model varied among the different temperate zones. In the simulated future scenarios, the air temperature in the four zones showed an upward trend. Except for the subtropical zone, there was a tendency for increased precipitation in both the warm temperate zone and the cold temperate and middle temperate zones. Of particular interest is that, in the subtropical zone, the precipitation will decline in the future, whereas the air temperature (especially the maximum air temperature) will increase, which may put more pressure on water resource situations in this area.
学科主题	自然地理学
WOS研究方向	Water Resources
语种	英语
WOS记录号	WOS:000404558100006
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.itpcas.ac.cn/handle/131C11/8246]
专题	青藏高原研究所_图书馆
通讯作者	Xu, ZX
作者单位	1.Beijing Normal Univ, Coll Water Sci, Beijing Key Lab Urban Hydrol Cycle & Sponge City, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China. 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Tibetan Plateau Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China.
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Liu, P ,Xu, ZX ,Li, XP ,et al. Projection of Climate Change Scenarios in Different Temperature Zones in the Eastern Monsoon Region, China[J]. WATER,2017,9(5):305.
APA	Liu, P ,Xu, ZX ,Li, XP ,&Xu, ZX.(2017).Projection of Climate Change Scenarios in Different Temperature Zones in the Eastern Monsoon Region, China.WATER,9(5),305.
MLA	Liu, P ,et al."Projection of Climate Change Scenarios in Different Temperature Zones in the Eastern Monsoon Region, China".WATER 9.5(2017):305.