Insights into the transmission of respiratory infectious diseases through empirical human contact networks | |
Wang, C; Huang, CL; Liu, XW; Sun, SW; Li, SC; Deng, MH; He, GX; Zhang, HC; Zhou, Y; Zhao, YL | |
刊名 | SCIENTIFIC REPORTS |
2016 | |
卷号 | 6页码:31484 |
DOI | http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep31484 |
英文摘要 | In this study, we present representative human contact networks among Chinese college students. Unlike schools in the US, human contacts within Chinese colleges are extremely clustered, partly due to the highly organized lifestyle of Chinese college students. Simulations of influenza spreading across real contact networks are in good accordance with real influenza records; however, epidemic simulations across idealized scale-free or small-world networks show considerable overestimation of disease prevalence, thus challenging the widely-applied idealized human contact models in epidemiology. Furthermore, the special contact pattern within Chinese colleges results in disease spreading patterns distinct from those of the US schools. Remarkably, class cancelation, though simple, shows a mitigating power equal to quarantine/vaccination applied on similar to 25% of college students, which quantitatively explains its success in Chinese colleges during the SARS period. Our findings greatly facilitate reliable prediction of epidemic prevalence, and thus should help establishing effective strategies for respiratory infectious diseases control. |
学科主题 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
语种 | 英语 |
内容类型 | 期刊论文 |
源URL | [http://ir.itp.ac.cn/handle/311006/21559] |
专题 | 理论物理研究所_理论物理所1978-2010年知识产出 |
通讯作者 | Bu, DB (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Comp Technol, Key Lab Intelligent Informat Proc, Beijing, Peoples R China.; Bu, DB (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Theoret Phys, Beijing, Peoples R China. |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wang, C,Huang, CL,Liu, XW,et al. Insights into the transmission of respiratory infectious diseases through empirical human contact networks[J]. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,2016,6:31484. |
APA | Wang, C.,Huang, CL.,Liu, XW.,Sun, SW.,Li, SC.,...&Bu, DB .(2016).Insights into the transmission of respiratory infectious diseases through empirical human contact networks.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,6,31484. |
MLA | Wang, C,et al."Insights into the transmission of respiratory infectious diseases through empirical human contact networks".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 6(2016):31484. |
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