Insights into the transmission of respiratory infectious diseases through empirical human contact networks
Wang, C; Huang, CL; Liu, XW; Sun, SW; Li, SC; Deng, MH; He, GX; Zhang, HC; Zhou, Y; Zhao, YL
刊名SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
2016
卷号6页码:31484
DOIhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep31484
英文摘要In this study, we present representative human contact networks among Chinese college students. Unlike schools in the US, human contacts within Chinese colleges are extremely clustered, partly due to the highly organized lifestyle of Chinese college students. Simulations of influenza spreading across real contact networks are in good accordance with real influenza records; however, epidemic simulations across idealized scale-free or small-world networks show considerable overestimation of disease prevalence, thus challenging the widely-applied idealized human contact models in epidemiology. Furthermore, the special contact pattern within Chinese colleges results in disease spreading patterns distinct from those of the US schools. Remarkably, class cancelation, though simple, shows a mitigating power equal to quarantine/vaccination applied on similar to 25% of college students, which quantitatively explains its success in Chinese colleges during the SARS period. Our findings greatly facilitate reliable prediction of epidemic prevalence, and thus should help establishing effective strategies for respiratory infectious diseases control.
学科主题Science & Technology - Other Topics
语种英语
内容类型期刊论文
源URL[http://ir.itp.ac.cn/handle/311006/21559]  
专题理论物理研究所_理论物理所1978-2010年知识产出
通讯作者Bu, DB (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Comp Technol, Key Lab Intelligent Informat Proc, Beijing, Peoples R China.; Bu, DB (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Theoret Phys, Beijing, Peoples R China.
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Wang, C,Huang, CL,Liu, XW,et al. Insights into the transmission of respiratory infectious diseases through empirical human contact networks[J]. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,2016,6:31484.
APA Wang, C.,Huang, CL.,Liu, XW.,Sun, SW.,Li, SC.,...&Bu, DB .(2016).Insights into the transmission of respiratory infectious diseases through empirical human contact networks.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,6,31484.
MLA Wang, C,et al."Insights into the transmission of respiratory infectious diseases through empirical human contact networks".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 6(2016):31484.
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