A prediction of strong earthquakes in the Sichuan and Yunnan regions and analysis of the seismogenic process of the Wenchuan M(w)7. 9 earthquake

doi:10.3969/j.issn.0001-5733.2010.11.012

	A prediction of strong earthquakes in the Sichuan and Yunnan regions and analysis of the seismogenic process of the Wenchuan M(w)7. 9 earthquake
	Qin Si-Qing 1; Xue Lei 1; Xu Xi-Wei 2; Huang Xin 1; Wang Yuan-Yuan 1; Pan Xiao-Hua 1
刊名	CHINESE JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICS-CHINESE EDITION
	2010-11-01
卷号	53 期号:11 页码:2639-2650
关键词	Sichuan And Yunnan Regions Seismic Zone Locked Patch Wenchuan Earthquake Prediction Method
ISSN号	0001-5733
DOI	10.3969/j.issn.0001-5733.2010.11.012
文献子类	Article
英文摘要	According to the division principle of seismogenic time and space scale presented by us, a rational division scheme of seismic zones or belts in the Sichuan and Yunnan regions, China, is determined Furthermore, the prediction results, including the magnitude, place, critical strain, and hypocentral depth of the oncoming strong earthquake for each seismic zone or belt, are obtained using the brittle failure theory of multiple locked patches in a seismogenic fault system It is shown that destructive earthquakes will occur in the seismic zones mentioned below other than Xichang, Lijiang and Xianshuihe seismic zones Furthermore, the seismogenic process associated with the Wenchuan earthquake is analyzed It is shown that the most immediate cause leading to the Wenchuan earthquake occurred on 12 May, 2008 is attributed to the double earthquake swarm events with a magnitude of M(s)7 2 occurred in Songpan-Pingwu in 1976
WOS关键词	2008 M(S)8.0 WENCHUAN ; MECHANISM
WOS研究方向	Geochemistry & Geophysics
语种	英语
出版者	SCIENCE PRESS
WOS记录号	WOS:000284983300012
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.iggcas.ac.cn/handle/132A11/73272]
专题	中国科学院地质与地球物理研究所
通讯作者	Qin Si-Qing
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Engn Geomech, Inst Geol & Geophys, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China 2.China Earthquake Adm, Inst Geol, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Qin Si-Qing,Xue Lei,Xu Xi-Wei,et al. A prediction of strong earthquakes in the Sichuan and Yunnan regions and analysis of the seismogenic process of the Wenchuan M(w)7. 9 earthquake[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICS-CHINESE EDITION,2010,53(11):2639-2650.
APA	Qin Si-Qing,Xue Lei,Xu Xi-Wei,Huang Xin,Wang Yuan-Yuan,&Pan Xiao-Hua.(2010).A prediction of strong earthquakes in the Sichuan and Yunnan regions and analysis of the seismogenic process of the Wenchuan M(w)7. 9 earthquake.CHINESE JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICS-CHINESE EDITION,53(11),2639-2650.
MLA	Qin Si-Qing,et al."A prediction of strong earthquakes in the Sichuan and Yunnan regions and analysis of the seismogenic process of the Wenchuan M(w)7. 9 earthquake".CHINESE JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICS-CHINESE EDITION 53.11(2010):2639-2650.