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	民营资本如何助力我国的城镇化进程——基于面板门限模型的微观考察; How Private Capital Boost the Urbanization Process of Chinese Cities:Private Listed Companies Examination Based on Panel Threshold Model
	武力超 ; 唐露萍 ; 陈熙龙
	2014-01-15
关键词	民营资本 城镇化 经济发展 门限效应 private capital urbanization economic development threshold effect
英文摘要	新型城镇化作为新时期推动我国经济发展和结构改革的一个突破口,其影响涉及经济和社会发展的各个领域。本文研究的重点在于探讨民营资本对城镇化建设的影响,首先从供给和需求两个层面对传导机制进行了深入分析,之后采用我国2006~2009年的24个省(直辖市、自治区)中115个城市444家民营上市公司的平衡面板数据,通过面板门限的回归方法检验了民营资本的发展是否与我国城镇化进程存在显著的正相关关系,探讨城镇化的不同阶段民营资本对经济发展的效应是否有显著差别,以此对比我国现阶段城镇化进程中的民营资本发展水平,为中小城市推进城镇化进程和发展民营经济提供有益的参考。通过回归结果的分析,本文发现,城镇化进程突出的阶段化特征使得民营资本与人均gdP之间存在显著的非线性关系,当城镇化率大于34.4%时,民营资本对于地区经济发展的作用非常明显。因此,城镇化建设和民营经济的发展应该是相辅相成、并驾齐驱的。本文的研究对于政府在城镇化建设过程中鼓励民营经济的发展和最大化民营资本的作用,进而推动地区整体经济的发展和改善民生具有重要的借鉴意义。; For developing countries,urbanization has always been a hot issue of economics.Since the reform and opening up,China's urbanization has gotten the rapid development.The urbanization rate increased from 18%in 1978 to 51%in 2011.As a breakthrough promoting China's economic development and structural reform in the new era,new urbanization effects various fields related to economic and social development.Urbanization contains a huge investment and consumer demand.Fully release the potential of urbanization,especially consumer demand potential,is expected to support China's economy in the next 5-10 years.But it also should be noted that China is facing the "Lewis turning point",which means that the supply will be the new bottleneck through the process of urbanization in the future.Existing research rarely discussed the role of private capital in the process of urbanization especially lacked empirical study.This paper focuses on the influence of private capital to the urbanization.Firstly,we analyze the transmission mechanism in-depth from the supply and demand level.On the supply side,the private economy effects on urbanization by promoting economic growth,technological progress,and capital investment.On the demand side,private capital accelerates urban labor agglomeration through direct consumer demand and absorbing surplus rural population.Secondly,we test whether the development and urbanization process in China has significant positive correlation through the panel threshold regression by using Chinese 444 private listed company balanced panel data in 115 cities of 24 provinces(municipalities and autonomous regions) from 2006 to 2009,and discuss if the influence has a significant difference in different stages of urbanization in order to compare the development of private capital with China's current urbanization level,and provide useful reference to the urbanization process of small and medium cities and the development of private economy.By regression results,we find that private capital and GDP per capita has a significant non-linear relationship because of the prominent stage characteristics of urbanization.When the urbanization rate is low,private capital only has a weak effect on GDP per capita.With the growth of urbanization rate,the level of the influence gradually increases.The private capital has a significant effect on economic development when the urbanization rate is greater than 34.4 percent.Therefore,urbanization and the development of private economy should be complementary.In order to test the robustness of the regression results,the paper also uses operating income as an indicator of private capital to alternate the total assets.The regression results are similar which can prove this study is robust and reliable.This study possesses great significance in how to encourage the development of private economy and to maximize its role of private capital in order to promoting the regional economy and improving the livelihood.We can conclude the following two points.Firstly,private capital has a very clear role in promoting economic development from the view of fixed assets investment.So,the government should further encourage private capital to participate in the fixed assets investment of the whole society.Especially,urbanization requires substantial capital investment in infrastructure,and for a long time,our country is facing a huge gap between the infrastructure investment demand and the funds availability by government.Encourage private capital to join fixed assets investment can not only alleviate the contradiction between supply and demand,but also become another driving force for economic development.Secondly,in the process of the growth of urbanization rate,private capital has more and more significant effects on the overall economic development and GDP per capita.Our government should accelerate urbanization in the areas where private economy is developed in order to more fully exert the positive role of the private economy in the increase in GDP per capita.While in the other areas,the government should take measures to encourage the development of private economy in company with the urbanization,and take fully advantage of private economy to improve people' s livelihood.; 福建省教育厅社会科学研究项目“福建省加快推进人力资本型城镇化问题的研究”(JA13016S); 福建省社会科学规划项目“我省积极稳妥推进城镇化战略研究”(2013C076); 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目“发展中国家的城镇化发展与有效经济增长问题”(T2013221016)
语种	zh_CN
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://dspace.xmu.edu.cn/handle/2288/113270]
专题	经济学院－已发表论文
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	武力超,唐露萍,陈熙龙. 民营资本如何助力我国的城镇化进程——基于面板门限模型的微观考察, How Private Capital Boost the Urbanization Process of Chinese Cities:Private Listed Companies Examination Based on Panel Threshold Model[J],2014.
APA	武力超,唐露萍,&陈熙龙.(2014).民营资本如何助力我国的城镇化进程——基于面板门限模型的微观考察..
MLA	武力超,et al."民营资本如何助力我国的城镇化进程——基于面板门限模型的微观考察".(2014).

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