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	基于DS证据理论的复杂产品仿真可信度评估方法
	刘博元 ; 张凌宇 ; 范文慧 ; 曲慧杨 ; 侯宝存 ; LIU Bo-Yuan ; ZHANG Ling-Yu ; Fan Wen-Hui ; QU Hui-Yang ; HOU Bao-Cun
	2016-03-30 ; 2016-03-30
关键词	复杂产品仿真 仿真可信度 DS证据理论 专家打分 凸证据 complex product simulation credibility evaluation DS evidence expert estimation convex evidence TP391.9 TP18
其他题名	Methodology of Simulation Credibility Evluation for Complex Product Based on DS Evidence Theory
中文摘要	计算机建模仿真已经发展为重要的产品开发和系统测试手段.仿真可信度对于仿真结果非常重要,但评估仿真可信度的过程常常较为繁琐.因此,需要一个能够便捷正确地评价仿真可信度的评估方法,来完成体系建立、定性定量评估、专家意见汇总等工作.本文介绍了DS证据理论的原理及其应用,并对传统DS证据理论在评价系统中应用的局限性进行了改进,同时引入了凸证据作为辅助,建立了基于DS证据理论的复杂产品仿真可信度评估方法.文章最后结合一个算例具体说明了该理论在仿真可信度评估中的应用.; Computer modeling simulation has been developed as an important means of product development and system testing. Simulation credibility is critical to simulation results, but the procedure of credibility evaluation is usually very cumbersome. Therefore, there is a need for a proper method of simulation credibility evaluation, which can finish the work of system establishment, quantitative evaluation, qualitative evaluation and expert advice collection. This paper introduces the principle and application of DS evidence theory, and improves it for the implementation in evaluation system. With the auxiliary of convex evidence, a methodology of simulation credibility evaluation for complex product based on DS evidence theory is established. Finally, an example is showed to illustrate the concrete application of this method in the evaluation of simulation credibility.
语种	中文 ; 中文
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.lib.tsinghua.edu.cn/ir/item.do?handle=123456789/147145]
专题	清华大学
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	刘博元,张凌宇,范文慧,等. 基于DS证据理论的复杂产品仿真可信度评估方法[J],2016, 2016.
APA	刘博元.,张凌宇.,范文慧.,曲慧杨.,侯宝存.,...&HOU Bao-Cun.(2016).基于DS证据理论的复杂产品仿真可信度评估方法..
MLA	刘博元,et al."基于DS证据理论的复杂产品仿真可信度评估方法".(2016).

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