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Simulation of Climate Negotiation Strategies between China and the U.S. Based on Game Theory
JIN Zhu-Gang ; CAI Wen-Jia ; WANG Can ; JIN Zhu-Gang ; CAI Wen-Jia ; WANG Can
2016-03-30 ; 2016-03-30
关键词climate negotiation utility game theory strategy P46
其他题名Simulation of Climate Negotiation Strategies between China and the U.S. Based on Game Theory
中文摘要Consensus and disagreements between China and the U.S.are the key factors influencing the direction that global climate negotiation is heading for.By taking into account the uncertainties of temperature increment and its impact on GDP growth,together with the positive,negative and spillover effects of climate change investment on utility,a strategic simulation model including China and the U.S.is developed.Based on utility and game theory,a sensitivity analysis is conducted.The results show that the first-mover disadvantage exists in the game,and the scale of each country’s climate change investment under non-cooperative scenario is too small to ensure the 2?C target.To guarantee the stability and win-win basis for global cooperation,the simulation results also indicate that it makes sense to assist and compensate technology transfer and funding to China.; Consensus and disagreements between China and the U.S.are the key factors influencing the direction that global climate negotiation is heading for.By taking into account the uncertainties of temperature increment and its impact on GDP growth,together with the positive,negative and spillover effects of climate change investment on utility,a strategic simulation model including China and the U.S.is developed.Based on utility and game theory,a sensitivity analysis is conducted.The results show that the first-mover disadvantage exists in the game,and the scale of each country's climate change investment under non-cooperative scenario is too small to ensure the 2?C target.To guarantee the stability and win-win basis for global cooperation,the simulation results also indicate that it makes sense to assist and compensate technology transfer and funding to China.
语种英语 ; 英语
内容类型期刊论文
源URL[http://ir.lib.tsinghua.edu.cn/ir/item.do?handle=123456789/145839]  
专题清华大学
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
JIN Zhu-Gang,CAI Wen-Jia,WANG Can,et al. Simulation of Climate Negotiation Strategies between China and the U.S. Based on Game Theory[J],2016, 2016.
APA JIN Zhu-Gang,CAI Wen-Jia,WANG Can,JIN Zhu-Gang,CAI Wen-Jia,&WANG Can.(2016).Simulation of Climate Negotiation Strategies between China and the U.S. Based on Game Theory..
MLA JIN Zhu-Gang,et al."Simulation of Climate Negotiation Strategies between China and the U.S. Based on Game Theory".(2016).
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