Evaluation of extreme climate events using a regional climate model for China (SCI)

CORC > 寒区旱区环境与工程研究所 > 中科院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所（未分类） > 期刊论文

	Evaluation of extreme climate events using a regional climate model for China (SCI)
	Ji Z. M.; Kang S. C.
刊名	International Journal of Climatology
	2015
卷号	35 期号:6 页码:888-902
英文摘要	Extreme climate events over China at the end of the 21st century (2080-2099) are investigated using the regional climate model RegCM4. Model performance is validated through comparison between observations and simulations over the period 1985-2005. The results show that RegCM4 can satisfactorily reproduce the spatial distribution of extreme climate events over China. The model simulates temperature extremes more accurately than precipitation. Under the RCP8.5 (high emission) scenario, the number of frost days decreases, and both the heat wave duration index and the growing season length increase dramatically towards the end of the 21st century. Changes in extreme temperature become increasingly pronounced from South to North China, with the most significant changes occurring on the Tibetan Plateau (TP). The proportion of heavy precipitation generally increases, except on the southern TP. The number of very heavy precipitation days increases by 25-50% in Northwest and East China. In winter, the number of consecutive dry days (CDD) decreases in North China and increases in South China. The greatest increases in CDD are found in June, July and August (JJA) in Southwest China. In a future that follows this scenario, drought events may be aggravated in Southwest China, and decrease in North China. In contrast, when repeating these projections under the assumption of the RCP4.5 scenario for emissions, the frequency of extreme climate events is reduced. These results suggest that reductions in greenhouse gas emissions may mitigate the effects of climate change over the coming decades.
收录类别	SCI
语种	英语
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.casnw.net/handle/362004/27679]
专题	寒区旱区环境与工程研究所_中科院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所（未分类）_期刊论文
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ji Z. M.,Kang S. C.. Evaluation of extreme climate events using a regional climate model for China (SCI)[J]. International Journal of Climatology,2015,35(6):888-902.
APA	Ji Z. M.,&Kang S. C..(2015).Evaluation of extreme climate events using a regional climate model for China (SCI).International Journal of Climatology,35(6),888-902.
MLA	Ji Z. M.,et al."Evaluation of extreme climate events using a regional climate model for China (SCI)".International Journal of Climatology 35.6(2015):888-902.