Achieving Copenhagen target through carbon emission trading: Economic impacts assessment in Guangdong Province of China

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	Achieving Copenhagen target through carbon emission trading: Economic impacts assessment in Guangdong Province of China
	Wang, Peng 1; Dai, Han-cheng 2; Ren, Song-yan 1; Zhao, Dai-qing 1; Masui, Toshihiko 2
刊名	energy
	2015
卷号	79 页码:212-227
关键词	Carbon emission trading General equilibrium model Carbon trading price
英文摘要	this study analyzed the economic impacts of carbon ets (emission trading scheme) policy among four energy intensive sectors in guangdong province with a two-region dynamic cge model. five cases are considered to achieve copenhagen target towards 2020 in guangdong, including a reference case, two cases under different carbon emission constraints without carbon ets, and two cases with ets. the simulation results show that carbon price and economic impacts are closely related to both emission constraints and ets. in the scenario that overshoots copenhagen target and does not consider ets, carbon mitigation cost of refinery and iron & steel sectors would be relatively higher whereas that of power and cement sectors would be lower, and the gdp (gross domestic production) loss would be 1.4%. on the contrary, with ets implemented, the trading carbon price would be 38 usd (us dollar)/ton-co2, creating a carbon market of around 1 billion usd. furthermore, ets could significantly reduce the mitigation cost for the whole economy. the gdp of guangdong province would recover by 2.6 billion usd. in addition, the economic output and employment of sectors with would be affected compared to the scenario without ets. (c) 2014 elsevier ltd. all rights reserved.
WOS标题词	science & technology ; physical sciences ; technology
类目[WOS]	thermodynamics ; energy & fuels
研究领域[WOS]	thermodynamics ; energy & fuels
关键词[WOS]	cge analysis ; bottom-up ; energy ; demand ; cost
收录类别	SCI ; SSCI
语种	英语
WOS记录号	WOS:000348959000020
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.giec.ac.cn/handle/344007/10791]
专题	中国科学院广州能源研究所
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Guangzhou Inst Energy Convers, Guangzhou 510640, Guangdong, Peoples R China 2.Natl Inst Environm Studies, Social & Environm Syst Div, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 3058506, Japan
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wang, Peng,Dai, Han-cheng,Ren, Song-yan,et al. Achieving Copenhagen target through carbon emission trading: Economic impacts assessment in Guangdong Province of China[J]. energy,2015,79:212-227.
APA	Wang, Peng,Dai, Han-cheng,Ren, Song-yan,Zhao, Dai-qing,&Masui, Toshihiko.(2015).Achieving Copenhagen target through carbon emission trading: Economic impacts assessment in Guangdong Province of China.energy,79,212-227.
MLA	Wang, Peng,et al."Achieving Copenhagen target through carbon emission trading: Economic impacts assessment in Guangdong Province of China".energy 79(2015):212-227.